Price Analysis

Why Solana Price Could Drop 10% Soon Due to this Popular Bearish Signal

Solana price faces a potential 10% drop as a looming death cross between the 50- and 200-day EMAs signals a possible correction.
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Why Solana Price Could Drop 10% Soon Due to this Popular Bearish Signal

Highlights

  • A potential death cross between the 50- and 200-day EMAs could renew the correction trend.
  • Data from Santiment shows a significant drop in Solana’s development activity, indicating reduced developer contributions, potentially reflecting a slowdown in ongoing projects.
  • Two downsloping trendlines drive the current consolidation trendline in Solana price.

Solana price showed a modest 0.65% surge during the Tuesday market recovery to trade at $132. Despite the uptick, the daily candle shows a long-wick rejection, indicating the pressure of overhead selling and the potential for further correction as the death cross approaches.

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Will Solana Price Drop 10%? Death Cross Signals Possible Correction

Over the past two weeks, the Solana price has traded sideways, trying to stabilize above the multi-month support of $120. With no follow-up on either side, this consolidation indicates a lack of dominance from buyers or sellers to guide a directional trend. 

However, with the prevailing correction intact, the daily chart shows a looming death crossover of 50-and-200-day EMA for the first time since October 2023. This potential drop should be approached cautiously as it could intensify the bearish momentum, leading to a 9-10% fall in Solana price prediction to rest $120 again. 

A breakdown below the $120 support could further strengthen the seller’s grip and drive a 12.5% drop in seeking support at the lower trendline of the range pattern intact since March 2024.

SOL/USDT – 1d Chart

Moreover, the data from Santiment analytics shows a steady decline in Solana’s development activity from late July to mid-September 2024.  After peaking in late July, the development activity metric has dropped significantly, now sitting at 133.66, indicating reduced developers’ contributions to the Solana ecosystem. 

Development Activity | Santiment

This decline may suggest a slowdown in ongoing projects, updates, or general ecosystem engagement. An underperforming development activity metric could concern investors, suggesting reduced momentum in network activity.  

Moreover, the Solana total volume locked (TVL) shows a weakening impulse to stand at $4.8 Billion currently. The consolidation indicates the network struggles to attract new capital or retain existing investments. This prolonged consolidation could signal diminishing demand for Solana and drive further correction in SOL price.

On the contrary, if the $120 support or lower trendline stands firm, the buyers recuperate the bullish momentum amid the upcoming breakpoint conference event. Thus, the Solana price may prevent a major correction until the daily chart rectangle pattern is intact.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is causing the potential 10% drop in Solana's price?

A potential death cross between the 50- and 200-day EMAs is approaching, which could intensify the ongoing correction trend, potentially causing a 10% price drop

How has Solana's development activity changed recently?

According to data from Santiment, Solana's development activity has significantly declined since late July 2024, now sitting at 133.66,

Could Solana's price reverse if support holds?

If Solana holds above the $120 support or lower trendline, buyers could regain momentum, potentially leading to a bullish reversal
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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

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