XRP Price Analysis: Ripple Markets Enters 78% ‘Extreme Greed’ as US-China Trade Talks Begin in Switzerland

Ripple (XRP) price consolidates below $2.5 on Saturday, May 11, with gains capped at 5%. The Fear and Greed indicator hinting at volatile days ahead as US and China begin trade talks to mitigate ongoing reciprocal tariffs.

Ripple (XRP) Stalls Below $2.50 as Traders Book Profits on SEC Settlement

Ripple (XRP) failed to keep pace with rival Layer-1 tokens after its headline $50 million settlement with the U.S. SEC.

Traders used the news-driven rally to realize gains, triggering a stall below the $2.50 resistance.

XRP price gains on Saturday were capped at 5%, trailing behind Ethereum and Cardano with 10.5% and 7% upticks respectively, according to the latest data from CoinGecko.

Despite the underperformance, XRP trading volume remains elevated. Weekly average volumes are trending 38% above the 30-day mean.

Momentum indicators on the 7-day and 14-day charts still show double-digit price growth.

This signals strong underlying demand and investor confidence, setting up a consolidation base for potential breakout.

The $2.50 mark remains a psychologically significant resistance level.

XRP has tested this threshold three times in the past month, each time retreating on increased sell pressure.

Rather than slide below the $2 mark, positive sentiment from the SEC settlement and Trump’s softening stance on trade deals may trigger another Ripple price leg-up in the coming sessions.

US-China Trade Talks in Switzerland Could Lift XRP Sentiment

Simultaneously, diplomatic overtures between the U.S. and China are drawing investor attention. Trade envoys met in Geneva Saturday for tariff negotiations.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent leads the American delegation, with Vice Premier He Lifeng heading the Chinese side.

The talks follow months of economic escalation. A 145% U.S. tariff wall on Chinese imports and Beijing’s 125% countermeasures have suppressed bilateral trade volumes. Goldman Sachs projects these tariffs will double U.S. inflation to 4% by year-end. Even halving the current rates may not restore normal trade flows.

Market participants are closely monitoring statements from Washington.

“80% Tariff on China seems right! Up to Scott B,” Donald Trump posted on Truth Social, signaling both pressure and flexibility from tariffs of up-to 150% currently levied on certain imports from China.

Trump’s softening stance on trade policy and aggressive calls for Fed rate cuts continue to impact capital flows, investor risk appetite and global market sentiment positively.

XRP Fear and Greed Index Enters Extreme Greed Zone

Ripple’s market sentiment is signalling overheating. The XRP-specific Fear and Greed Index shows a current reading of 78, firmly in “Greed” territory. This marks a sharp uptick from  the monthly timeframe low values of 49 just seven days ago.

Key indicators like price impulse, social sentiment, and volume are all flashing “Extreme Greed.” Only whale concentration and network dominance lag behind, indicating some institutional caution.

This sentiment trend, coupled with geopolitical optimism and strong technical support at $2.25, could set the stage for XRP to challenge the $2.50 resistance once again.

Should Ripple price continue to consolidate above that threshold, the path to $3 becomes more realistic, especially if trade negotiations progress or capital rotation from Bitcoin accelerates.

XRP Price Forecast Today: Bulls to Target $2.75 if XRP Clears Mid-Keltner Channel

XRP price is holding firm above $2.44 on May 11, showing resilience after briefly touching an intraday high of $2.48.

Despite a mild 1.2% pullback on the daily close, the structure remains decisively bullish.

XRP trades above the midline of the Keltner Channel at $2.24, which now acts as dynamic support, while the upper band at $2.45 remains within reach, hinting at latent upside pressure.

Notably, the BBTrend oscillator has surged to 6.08, confirming a shift in directional strength that supports continuation rather than exhaustion.

Volume remains elevated at 8 million XRP, aligning with increasing buying momentum over the last three sessions, suggesting that institutional flows and larger holders are accumulating.

With XRP maintaining a strong posture above the 20-day mean, bulls are likely to test the psychological $2.50 barrier again, aiming next for $2.75. The breakout candle from May 9 remains intact, indicating follow-through is still in play.

Bitcoin forecast today also leans bullish, trading at $63.4K with RSI near 57 and holding above its 50-day EMA.

XRP typically follows Bitcoin’s macro sentiment, and with BTC showing no signs of reversal, XRP’s breakout remains technically supported. In the short-term, bearish risks may re-emerge if XRP price breaks below $2.24, invalidating the current channel breakout.