Will XRP Price Breakout from 40-Month Accumulation Drive a FOMO Rally to $1.5?

XRP price breaks out from a 40-month symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential rally to $1.5. Reduced exchange supply highlights HODL sentiment
By Sahil Mahadik
Updated July 11, 2025
XRP Price Eyes Rally To $7 As Whales Shuffle $283M

Highlights

  • The XRP price breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern signals the buyer's escape from a 40-month accumulation.
  • A declining trend in XRP supply on exchange reduced the selling pressure in the market and indicated HODL sentiment from investors.
  • A bullish breakout from the 200-day should drive a quick 10% surge for XRP.

The recovery momentum in the crypto market continues to accelerate as Bitcoin hits another high of $92,500 during Wednesday’s U.S. market session. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report fueled this surge in buying pressure, which revealed a year-over-year increase of 2.6%. Following the trend, the XRP price shows sustainability after a major breakout from 38 months of accumulation, signaling a rally to  $1.5 insight.

By press time, the Ripple coin price trades at $0.71 with an intraday gain of 1.63%. While the asset’s market cap is at $40.78 Billion, and its 24-hours trading volume is at $9.18B.

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XRP Price Breakout from Multi-Year Consolidation Signals a Rally to $01.5

Over the past three years, the XRP price has traded sideways, resonating within the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern is defined by two converging trendlines that act as dynamic resistance and support, gradually narrowing the price range and creating a squeeze in the altcoin’s price movement. 

Amid the ongoing Ripple vs. In The SEC case, this prolonged consolidation indicates a lack of clear dominance from either buyers or sellers in determining the asset’s price direction. However, the crypto market witnessed renewed interest in bullish momentum following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election.

Thus, the XRP price rallied sharply from $0.49 to $0.715— a 44% increase— in the last 10 days. The recovery trend gave a decisive breakout from the triangle pattern key resistance on November 10th, projecting an early sign of major trend reversal. 

If the pattern holds true, the XRP price could rally 33% to reach $0.92, followed by an extended rally to $1.5.

XRP Price
XRP/USDT -1d Chart
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HODLers Take Control as XRP Supply on Exchanges Falls

Since early February, the XRP supply on crypto exchanges has drastically dropped from 3.3 Million to 2.6 Million coins, according to Santiment data. This decline indicates that investors are moving their assets from exchange wallets to private wallets, highlighting a growing “HODL” sentiment among investors. 

This trend suggests that holders are opting for long-term storage rather than engaging in short-term trading, which could reduce selling pressure on the market.

XRP Ledger (XRP)
XRP Supply on Exchange| Santiment

However, a unidirectional uptrend in a financial asset is unlikely to be sustained without a steady stream of positive news. From a technical analysis perspective, no trend remains unchanged indefinitely. 

As a result, the XRP price is expected to pull back to recover and recharge its exhausted bullish momentum.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What does the recent XRP price breakout indicate?

The XRP price recently broke out of a 40-month symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling the end of a prolonged accumulation phase

2. How has the declining XRP supply on exchanges impacted the market?

The declining supply of XRP on exchanges that investors are moving their assets to private wallets, reflecting a growing "HODL" sentiment
Sahil Mahadik
Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading
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