MSTR Bottom In? Santiment Flags Hidden Indicator as Crypto Traders Bet on Strategy’s MSCI Delisting

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MSTR stock

Highlights

  • Santiment data shows MSTR social activity at multi-month lows amid heavy price decline.
  • MSTR stock fell about 65% since July as sentiment weakened faster than price action.
  • Polymarket shows 74% odds of MSCI removal as Strategy pauses Bitcoin buying.

MSTR stock is showing signs of a short-term bottom as investor attention across social platforms continues to fade. Social metrics covering the period from September 23 to December 23, 2025 show weakening engagement even as the stock faced a deep price correction.

According to Santiment report, social volume and social dominance indicators for MSTR have dropped to multi-month lows. Social dominance declined to 0.099%. The platform has previously observed similar levels near the end of selloffs or during early consolidation phases.

MSTR stock
Source: Santiment

MSTR Stock Shows Sentiment Shift as Crowd Interest Fades

According to the firm’s research, a declining crowd is frequently evident when speculative pressure is off. As focus wanes, momentum selling often craters. This has also coincided with local lows in previous cycles.

During the same time, Bitcoin price traded in a tight range between $87,000 and $90,000. Social MSTR metrics are weakened more than prices as prices remain static for Bitcoin. The divergence indicates that the bearish sentiment is potentially priced into the stock already.

Since its local high on July 16, MSTR stock has seen a heavy pullback. Almost 65 percent from a high of around $456 to about $158.71. The selloff followed increasing hostility and meme-motivated narratives on social media.

Bitcoin Strategy and Polymarket MSCI Outlook

Most of the criticism centered on Strategy’s Bitcoin acquisition policy. Over time, the company has raised convertible debt and other borrowings to boost its supply of BTC.

During an up market, that strategy has performed exceptionally well. It has come under more pressure in times of price weakness. In online chatter the risk is frequently framed as leverage risk linked to the balance sheet.

According to data from Polymarket, 74% of traders predicted that MicroStrategy would be delisted from the MSCI index by March 31. The data suggests increased uncertainty around the stock’s short-term trajectory.

MSCI index
Source: Polymarket

Attention also shifted to Michael Saylor’s Strategy paused Bitcoin buying. The SEC filing confirmed the company made no BTC acquisitions between December 15 and 21. Strategy continues to hold 671,268 Bitcoin, acquired for $50.33 billion at an average price of $74,972.

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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
CoinGape comprises an experienced team of native content writers and editors working round the clock to cover news globally and present news as a fact rather than an opinion. CoinGape writers and reporters contributed to this article.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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