Jerome Powell Speech Today: What to Expect From Fed Meeting for Crypto Market?

The Federal Reserve is set to hold its first meeting of 2026 today, with a focus on the policy decision and interest rate announcement. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to keep rates unchanged, with a 97% probability of no rate hikes. This follows recent inflation, which is still well above the target of Fed, and the persistence of labor market indicators.

Some policymakers are in support of reduction of rate to facilitate the cost of borrowing, but some are still on the guard and they argue that the level of inflation is not yet at its rightful place. A slight crypto market increase has been observed in the last 24 hours.

Chair Jerome Powell will not utter any radical words and will continue working on the same motif that the next steps in the policy will be conditioned by the incoming economic data. Powell is not anticipated to give any indication of a reduction within the near future, and it is conservative in its tactics, despite market pressures.

Markets will, in the meantime, be eagerly tuned to the press conference of Powell at 2:30 p.m. ET, in case of any hints on the future direction of the Fed.

Fed Meeting: What’s To Expect?

The January Fed meeting has been widely anticipated. Market experts are forecasting that the central bank will hold its benchmark interest rate steady. This week, the Federal Reserve will not respond to the interest rates because inflation is high, and the recent job statistics have not been good. 

The federal funds rate that is currently charged by the Fed is in the range of 3.5 to 3.75%. This range has been sustained since the end of last year. FOMC should wait once it has made 3 consecutive cuts. There is a 97% certainty of no move being priced at markets (CME FedWatch).

The Fed is already being patient, and this has been factored into the market expectations. It is centered on the evaluation of the effects of rate reduction that will occur in 2025. Fed officials have already pointed out that they are ready to keep the rates constant at the moment. This will allow them more time to consider the impacts of the past decisions.

Jerome Powell’s Press Conference and Market Reactions

The rate decision as such will be predictable, but the press conference of Jerome Powell will be a decisive moment. Shareholders will do their best to analyze his statements to find any indications of how the Fed might proceed. 

It is of great interest that Powell may give a hint on future rate cuts. Analysts believe that there will be one or two cuts this year, perhaps in June and December, according to futures market prices.

The present inflationary environment will also be addressed by the statements made by Powell. He will speak about the problems of the job market and economic development. His attitude will make investors know how the Fed intends to deal with the current uncertainty. In addition to the rate decision, guidance by Powell will be central in the way the central bank will take the next course of action.

Powell was pressured by politics, which is another significant concern. The Department of Justice recently initiated an inquiry into its Federal Reserve Building renovations. This enquiry has drawn a lot of interest, particularly in view of President Trump announcing the successor of Powell shortly. Such politics may affect how the Fed talks in the coming months.

Will FOMC Meeting Affect Crypto Market?

The next Fed session has serious consequences for the cryptocurrency industry. The cryptocurrency market has proven to be resistant to macroeconomic difficulties. It will be very vigilant to any indication of the Fed that may influence the interest rates and investor mood. The current crypto market has seen a slight surge of 1% over the past 24-hours ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting.

Bitcoin price is holding steady around $87,000, and Ethereum hovers near $2,900. XRP has been attracting institutional interest but struggles to break past the $2.00 mark.