What’s Behind Crypto Market Red Zone?

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What’s Behind Crypto Market Red Zone?

Highlights

  • Crypto market faces downturn due to macroeconomic uncertainty and resistance.
  • Federal Reserve rate cut uncertainty dampens risk appetite for cryptocurrencies.
  • Taiwan explores Bitcoin reserves; geopolitical shifts challenge US dollar dominance.

The crypto market has seen a 1.5% decline in the last 24 hours, extending a 10.85% drop over the past month. Despite institutional buying pressure, the market faces mixed macroeconomic factors and technical resistance. 

The market has been in a sideways trend in the past week as both the bulls and the bears fight each other in control. The major cryptocurrencies, such as BTC, hover at around $103K following a drop to below $105K. Ethereum (ETH) has also slowed down to about $3,500 after the recent decline of the market, as XRP, DOGE, and ADA eye recovery.

Here’s Why Crypto Market Is Facing a Major Downturn

The crypto market is experiencing a significant downward trend today, and the overall market capitalization is decreasing. This is a downward turn because the US government shutdown ended and investors are on alert, reconsidering their short-term plans. The doubt about the shutdown, which is the longest in US history, has lowered the appetite of investors to riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies.

As risk sentiment shifts towards safer assets, major crypto tokens are facing fresh selling pressure. This shift is contributing to weaker market momentum and slowing any recovery efforts that were previously anticipated.

Federal Reserve Uncertainty Dampens Crypto Market Sentiment

To complicate the situation further, the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has been thrown into doubt. Now, traders are reducing their hopes of a 25 basis point (bps) cut, and this created further pressure on risk-based assets such as cryptocurrencies. This indecisiveness has led to a more or less sideways trading trend in the crypto market, with investors unsure of what Fed can do next.

The risk assets pressure has risen significantly, with the probability of a rate cut at end of December reduced to 53%. This has established a difficult situation in cryptocurrencies, which have failed to experience any significant positive trend.

Source: FedWatch

In other projects, Kyrgyzstan is making moves to roll out a USD-pegged stablecoin, supported by the national stockpile of gold. This project is a major change in the strategy of the country towards digital currency and can threaten the US dollar supremacy. Analysts opine that this may act as a geopolitical experiment to other countries that may want to circumvent US sanctions and reduce use of dollar.

Taiwan Explores Bitcoin Integration into National Reserves

In the meantime, Taiwan is alleged to be progressing towards implementations of incorporating Bitcoin (BTC) into the national reserve strategy. The Executive Yuan, as well as the Central Bank of Taiwan, is also considering the possibility of making use of Bitcoin as a strategic asset. Taiwan is also considering the option of implementing a pilot program with the use of confiscated BTC.

Also, the legislature has requested an audit on the Bitcoin reserves in the country, and the final report will be available by year-end. The actions of Taiwan are an indication of the increased interest in the prospects of the diversification of the traditional fiat currencies, as countries of the world start considering the prospect of Bitcoin as a possible reserve asset.

Although these are encouraging developments, the crypto market is still under the pressure of large transactions with a significant turn by whale investor Owen Gunden, transferring 2,401 BTC worth 244 million into Kraken. This action has contributed to the negative mood of the market.

The Fear and Greed Index has fallen to 25, the lowest since March 2025, signifying that investors are very fearful and cautious. As the world economy is uncertain about the future, as well as the market of cryptocurrencies, the way to recover is uncertain.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. Why is the crypto market experiencing a downturn?

The market is facing uncertainty due to mixed macroeconomic factors, such as the end of the US government shutdown, and concerns over Federal Reserve rate cuts, along with technical resistance.

2. What impact did the US government shutdown have on the crypto market?

The shutdown created uncertainty, dampening investor appetite for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. As risk sentiment shifted towards safer assets, crypto tokens faced fresh selling pressure.
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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
CoinGape comprises an experienced team of native content writers and editors working round the clock to cover news globally and present news as a fact rather than an opinion. CoinGape writers and reporters contributed to this article.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.