XRP price downtrend from the Ripple ruling triggered rally early last month to $0.93, has continued to kill investor sentiment, with declines stretching to $0.60. However, with support at this level seemingly intact and XRP testing resistance at $0.65, there is a glaring possibility of gains extending to $0.7 and $1, respectively.
Many investors anticipated a massive breakout following the partial ruling in the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit, which determined that XRP is not a security when sold on third-party exchanges like Coinbase and Binance.
Although the initial breakout propelled XRP price to $0.93, profit-booking and a dilapidated crypto market environment saw gains to trimmed to $0.60.
Data by Coinglass on the XRP derivatives market reveals a drop in open interest to $786.81 million from slightly above $1 billion around mid-July.
Based on on-chain data from the XRPSCAN, daily network transactions have continued to move sideways around $1 million for at least 12 months, implying that the cross-border payments token has not improved fundamentally.
Based on the prevailing market structure, XRP price is poised to rally – first to $0.7 where consolidation may take place ahead of the ultimate rally above $1.
Traders seeking exposure to XRP longs may want to hold on until the price breaks above the descending trendline on the four-hour chart, which marks a confluence resistance at $0.6484 with the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
The path with the least resistance could remain to the upside for the rest of the week, bolstered by the positive outlook of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Money Flow Index (MFI), which have been trending upward since late last week.
The MACD dons a buy signal following a bullish cross while the MFI shows that investors are open to seeking exposure to XRP markets.
Although the technical picture on the daily chart is slightly different, it validates the bullish outlook. For instance, the 50-day EMA (red) reinforced support at $0.6. If declines soar, the 100-day EMA (blue) at $0.57 and the 200-day EMA (purple) at $0.52 will come in handy.
Traders must, however, be cautious keeping in mind the sell signal as presented by the MACD. Besides, the MFI reveals outflows from XRP markets fall behind the inflow volume.
In that case, failure to extend the uptrend above $0.7 could challenge the bulls’ position in the market and thus exert more pressure on the support areas highlighted above.
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