Bitcoin Price Today: What if BTC Crashes to $85,000?

Discover if Bitcoin price today trading above $100K crashes below it and slides as low as $85,000, what would happen then?
By Akash Girimath
January 25, 2025 | Updated January 25, 2025
Bitcoin Price Today: What if BTC Crashes to $85,000?

Highlights

  • Bitcoin price could crash to $85,000 in April 2025 instead of August 2025, predicts popular crypto analyst Ansem.
  • the 30-day MVRV indicator & BTC price action shows the possibility of 2024's first quarter history repeating itself.
  • A drop below $102K could trigger a crash to $96K, but a bounce could lead to new ATH of $120K.

Bitcoin (BTC) price today trades at $104,881.0 on 11 PM. BTC price hit a daily high of $105,232.0 today after a 0.13% move on September 6. But this expert and popular crypto analyst is forecasting a potential BTC price crash to $85,000, not in August, but in April. Will such a crash occur? What could happen to crypto markets in this scenario?

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Bitcoin Price Today is Crashing. Why?

Bitcoin price today is down 0.13%, continuing the rangebound movement it began on January 19. In this sideways movement, BTC has experienced massive volatility that created an all-time high (ATH) at $110,000 with no significant progress. Currently, BTC price trades at $104,881.0 above the $102.2K to $92.7K range. Hence, the reason for the recent downtick in BTC is the ongoing consolidation. But if there’s a crash, how low can the price go? One expert analyst poses a “what if” question, pushing investors to think what would happen if Bitcoin crashed to $85,000.

*bitcoin price updated as of 11 PM.

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Will Bitcoin Crash to $85,000? 

Popular analyst Ansem’s Bitcoin price forecast on X notes a potential crash to $85,000 in April instead of August 2025.

“many are saying august reminder, but what if its, april reminder”

The expert points to Bitcoin’s April 2024 price action, which suggests a potential crash to $85,000. Based on this fractal, Ansem opens up the possibility of the April 2024 fractal repeating history in April 2025.

Bitcoin Price Today: What if BTC Crashes to $85,000?
BTC/USD 4-hour chart

From a technical standpoint, it makes sense for Bitcoin to crash below $85,000. This move would sweep the sell-side liquidity resting below $90,000. A clear support level below $90K would be around $85,000.

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Does On-chain Metric Support a Crash?

The 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio shows that it is currently in the danger zone. This zone is where 30-day BTC holders with unrealized gains tend to sell, leading to a price reversal. Hence, investors can expect a short-term correction.

But interestingly, Bitcoin price action and 30-day MVRV show similar fractals to what elapsed in Q1 2024. Hence, the chances of history repeating are high here.

Bitcoin Price Today: What if BTC Crashes to $85,000?
Bitcoin Price vs. 30-day MVRV

Key Levels To Watch 

The four-hour Bitcoin price chart shows that $102K is now the key support level to watch. A breakdown or bounce here will determine where BTC could go next.

Most investors expect a bounce from $102K. In such a case, the current ATH at $110K is the key resistance level. Beyond this, the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $120K could be where BTC sets its next peak.

Bitcoin Price Today: What if BTC Crashes to $85,000?
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

On the contrary, a breakdown of the $102K support level could send BTC into the buy zone, which extends from $99.1K to $96.7K. There is a high chance that sidelined buyers may accumulate here. However, if the selling pressure is high, then Bitcoin price could revisit the range low of $92.7K.

If the crypto analyst Ansem’s prediction were to come true, bears need to break the $92.7K support level with a daily or weekly candlestick close below it. In such a case, the price could dive toward the next key area of interest at $85K.

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Akash Girimath
Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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