US PCE Data Shows Signs of Cooling Inflation, When Bitcoin Will Hit New ATH?

The Bitcoin price noted slight recovery despite the recent US PCE inflation data, but pared gains after .
By Rupam Roy
US PCE Inflation July Bitcoin altcoin price

Highlights

  • Bitcoin price noted recovery after the latest U.S. PCE inflation data.
  • The U.S. PCE inflation data came in at 2.7%, in line with the market expectations.
  • The Core PCE Inflation came in at 2.8%, in line with forecasts, but monthly data shows signs of cooling inflation.

Investors were eagerly waiting for the U.S. PCE inflation data after the U.S. GDP data showed that the economy had advanced better than the market expectations in the first quarter. Notably, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) and the Core PCE inflation data are key gauges to track the current inflation level. Besides, these are also key tools that the U.S. Federal Reserve considers while planning their interest rate plans.

Advertisement
Advertisement

US Headline PCE Inflation Came in At 2.7%

The recent data by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the U.S. PCE inflation increased 0.3% in April, in line with the market expectations. On a year-over-year basis, the PCE inflation came in line with market expectation at 2.7%.

Simultaneously, the Core PCE inflation, excluding food and energy prices, cools to 0.2%, as compared to 0.3% in the prior month. Meanwhile, the annual core PCE inflation also came in line with market forecasts at 2.8%.

Although the Core PCE cooled last month, the inflation level still remains higher than anticipated, dampening the investors’ sentiment. In addition, the inflation remaining above the central bank’s expectation of a 2% target range has dampened the investors’ sentiment so far.

Having said that, the traders are seeking clarity over potential rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, as the higher policy rates have dampened the risk-bet appetite of the market participants.

Advertisement
Advertisement

Bitcoin Price Records Slight Recovery, Pared Gains Later

The Bitcoin price noted a slight recovery, despite the latest inflation data. Meanwhile, following the PCE inflation release, Bitcoin price soared 0.95% to $68,773, while its trading volume remained muted at $27 billion over the last 24 hours. However, BTC price pared gains later due to a weak chart pattern amid Mt. Gox payout and DMM Bitcoin hack risks, with price falling to a low of $66.8K.

Meanwhile, the U.S. 10-year Bond Yield slipped 0.73% to 4.515, while the U.S. Dollar Index Futures fell 0.27% to $104.380. Notably, the latest PCE data has further fueled concerns over a dovish stance by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 99% probability that the Federal Reserve will not make any changes to its policy rates at its upcoming June meeting. However, a new all-time high could coincide with rate cuts later this year.

Meanwhile, Matrixport co-founder Daniel Yan recently highlighted the significance of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for April. In a social media post, Yan stated that a 0.2% month-on-month increase for both Core PCE and PCE would be bullish for the market, while a 0.3% increase would be bearish. If one measure is at 0.2% and the other at 0.3%, Yan indicated a neutral outlook.

Also Read: Why Bitcoin (BTC) Price Is Falling Suddenly?

Advertisement
Rupam Roy
Rupam is a seasoned professional with three years of experience in the financial market, where he has developed a reputation as a meticulous research analyst and insightful journalist. He thrives on exploring the dynamic nuances of the financial landscape. Currently serving as a sub-editor at Coingape, Rupam's expertise extends beyond conventional boundaries. His role involves breaking stories, analyzing AI-related developments, providing real-time updates on the crypto market, and presenting insightful economic news. Rupam's career is characterized by a deep passion for unraveling the complexities of finance and delivering impactful stories that resonate with a diverse audience.
Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.