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Highlights
- Bitcoin briefly hit $90K, surging on strong post-election optimism and record trading volumes.
- Bitcoin's cycle could peak in 200 days, aligning with a 45% recession chance mid-2025.
- Realized volatility is at 50%, implying continued market turbulence into 2025.
Bitcoin price recently achieved a new milestone, briefly trading above $90,000 following a period of sustained growth. This rally, attributed partly to renewed optimism within the crypto community, has marked a record-breaking period for the cryptocurrency. Analysts at Copper.co suggest that this upward trajectory could continue for the next several months, pointing to historical cycles that may see Bitcoin peaking within roughly 200 days.
Bitcoin Price Hits New High Above $90K: Analysts Eyeing Peak in 200 Days
Bitcoin price surged past the $90,000 mark, riding a wave of optimism in the crypto market following recent U.S. election results. Trading volumes have soared, contributing to this new all-time high, as investors anticipate pro-crypto regulatory shifts in the coming months. Analysts at Copper.co project that BTC market cycle is far from complete and expect the current rally could lead to a peak within 200 days, or around mid-2025.
The recent surge aligns with historical trends, where Bitcoin market cycles, averaging approximately 756 days, culminate in peak valuations before entering a correction phase. According to Copper.co’s Head of Research, Fadi Aboualfa, Bitcoin has entered day 554 of this cycle, potentially signaling a sustained upward trajectory into 2025.
Based on the analysis, the outlook of past market cycles suggests that Bitcoin price could continue to climb. This opinion is shared among many enthusiasts in the crypto market. Most recently, Andrew Tate shared insights that BTC bull run is yet to begin.
Potential Recession Timing Adds Uncertainty
Copper.co’s report also considers the potential for a U.S. economic recession in mid-2025, which may coincide with Bitcoin’s anticipated cycle peak. A JPMorgan analysis places a 45% probability on a recession occurring in the latter half of next year. This potential downturn could impact demand and price stability for digital assets.
However, Bitcoin’s resilience during past recessions provides some optimism, as investors view the crypto as a hedge against traditional market volatility.
While a recession could shift sentiment, some analysts argue that Bitcoin may benefit from economic uncertainty. Analysts note that in previous economic downturns, the asset has experienced an influx of institutional interest, positioning it as a store of value.
In this recent cycle and crypto market rally, BTC utility has attracted many institutions and countries. According to a recent report, Bhutan’s government Bitcoin holdings have reached $1 billion. This cycle, therefore, could see similar investment flows, given the strong infrastructure around Bitcoin price and crypto investment.
Realized and Implied Volatility Suggest Continued Turbulence
As Bitcoin’s valuation reaches historic highs, its market volatility remains notable. The report highlights that Bitcoin’s realized volatility currently sits at 50%, suggesting substantial fluctuations in price movement. Such levels of volatility indicate that Bitcoin’s trajectory may remain turbulent, even amid positive growth prospects. The crypto market could experience swings as investors react to volatile market conditions.
Adding to the volatility, technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin price may have more room to grow. Copper.co points to Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently at 60, which is lower than previous bull market peaks. This indicator, when measured against past cycles, implies that Bitcoin has not yet reached an overbought status. These indicators align with the recent BTC price prediction of reaching the $100 mark.
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