Price Analysis

Ethereum Price Eyes Crash to $1K as Active Addresses & Fees Plunge

Find out why fundamentals like falling active addresses and a rare chart pattern on the weekly points to a potential Ethereum price crash.
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Ethereum Price Eyes Crash to $1K as Active Addresses & Fees Plunge

Highlights

  • Ethereum price is on the verge of a crash to $1,000 as fundamentals worsen.
  • ETH’s active addresses, burn rate, and fees are falling, a sign of weak demand.
  • It has formed a giant triple-top pattern on the weekly chart, pointing to more downside.

Ethereum (ETH) price continues to crash, and has now plunged below $1,800. It is down by almost 60% from its November high, and its weak fundamental metrics like falling active addresses, ETF outflows, and fee plunge points to a potential crash to $1,000.

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Active Addresses, Fees Plunge, and ETF Outflows Hint at Ethereum Price Plunge

Ethereum price could crash to $1,000 in the near term. On-chain data shows that the number of active addresses has continued to plunge, a sign that some holders are abandoning ship. ETH had over 575k active addresses in January, a figure that has dropped to 333k today. 

Ethereum active addresses

More data reveals that the ETH burn rate continues to drop as the fees generated by the network falls. According to TokenTerminal, Ethereum network has made only $222 million, a figure that is much lower than Uniswap, Solana, Jito, Circle, Tron, and Tether. Ethereum used to dominate in fees in 2024.

Ethereum Burn Rate

Additional data reveals that Ethereum ETF outflows soared to $403 million in March, bringing the cumulative figure to $2.36 billion. In contrast, Bitcoin has had over $36 billion in inflows since January last year. 

Analysts have turned bearish on Ethereum price. Just last month, Standard Chartered lowered its ETH price forecast by 60% to $4,000. 

On top of all this, ETH price is battling a period of extreme fear in the market after Trump launched his reciprocal tariffs that have pushed recession odds higher.

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Technical Analysis Shows ETH Price May Plummet to $1k

A closer inspection of Ethereum’s weekly chart shows an increasing risk that the coin will continue falling soon. That’s because it formed a triple-top pattern between March 11 and December 16 last year. This pattern is made up of three peaks and a neckline. 

In this case, the peaks were at $4,045, while the neckline was at $2,130. It has now plunged below the neckline, validating the bearish thesis. At the same time, the Average Directional Index (ADX), a popular indicator that measures the strength of a trend, has soared to 30, a sign that the trend is strengthening.

Therefore, measuring the distance between the top and the neckline shows that it is about 50%. A similar measurement from the neckline shows that it may crash to $1,000, which is about 42% below the current level. 

Ethereum price chart

On the flip side, a move above the crucial resistance level at $2,130, the triple-top’s neckline, will invalidate the bearish ETH price forecast. It will raise the odds of the coin rising to $2,500.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is there a risk of Ethereum price falling to $1,000?

The risk is that the coin has weak fundamentals and that it has formed a triple-top pattern on the weekly chart.

Which are the top weak fundamentals ETH price is facing?

ETH is seeing more ETF outflows, fees are falling, and the number of addresses is in a strong downtrend.

Can ETH coin price recover?

It will take a combination of fundamentals and technicals for the Ethereum price to ultimately bounce back.
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crispus

Crispus is a seasoned Financial Analyst at CoinGape with over 12 years of experience. He focuses on Bitcoin and other altcoins, covering the intersection of news and analysis. His insights have been featured on renowned platforms such as BanklessTimes, CoinJournal, HypeIndex, SeekingAlpha, Forbes, InvestingCube, Investing.com, and MoneyTransfers.com.

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Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
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