Analysts Warn BTC Price Crash to $10K as Glassnode Flags Structural Weakness

Varinder Singh
1 hour ago
Varinder Singh

Varinder Singh

Independent Sr. Journalist
Expertise : Bitcoin, Crypto, Global Macro, DeFi, Blockchain, Web3, US Stocks, AI, Regulations and Lawsuits, & More
Varinder is a seasoned leader in the fintech and crypto media with over 12 years of experience, including over 6 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. He is known for covering high-impact and quality news stories for publishers such as CoinGape, The Coin Republic, and The Crypto Times, while perfecting and training multiple journalists during his tenure. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, and tech enthusiast, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 6000 news articles and papers.
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Analysts Warn BTC Price Crash to $10K as Glassnode Flags Structural Weakness

Highlights

  • BTC price crash risks rises as Glassnode highlights structural weakness amid macro stress.
  • Bitcoin on-chain data supports a bear market transition.
  • Analysts Julio Moreno and Benjamin Cowen raised concerns over BlockFills suspending withdrawals.
  • Peter Schiff predicts steeper BTC price crash toward $10K.

Bitcoin bulls failing to hold $70K triggered a slump to $65K again, intensifying bearish sentiment among institutional and retail investors for a steeper crash. Analysts warn BTC price crash to as low as $10K amid on-chain data flashing structural weakness.

Glassnode Highlights Structural Weakness amid Macro Headwinds

On-chain analytics platform Glassnode and others flag structural weakness in Bitcoin, with price action defensive between $60K-$72K range. BTC price could crash to the realized price of $55K.

Bitcoin spot volumes are structurally weak and depressed, creating a demand vacuum and accelerating realized losses. Forced deleveraging in futures, lower ETF and crypto treasury inflows, and elevated downside protection by BTC options traders resemble early 2022 and 2018 bear market patterns.

BTC Realized Price & True Market Mean
BTC Realized Price & True Market Mean. Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index drops to 5 (extreme fear) after Nonfarm payrolls increased by 130K in January, above market estimates of 70K and exceeding December’s 48K. The unemployment rate also declined to 4.3% from 4.4% in December, spoiling hopes of Fed rate cuts.

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Combined Market Index (BCMI) metric increasingly supports a bear-market transition toward a deeper BTC price crash, not a simple correction. “From a cycle perspective, true bottom conditions may still be ahead,” said a CryptoQuant analyst.

Bitcoin Combined Market Index (BCMI)
Bitcoin Combined Market Index (BCMI). Source: CryptoQuant

Analysts Predict BTC Price Crash

CryptoQuant research head Julio Moreno and analyst Benjamin Cowen raised concerns over Susquehanna-backed crypto lender BlockFills suspending client deposits and withdrawals, citing recent market volatility.

Earlier, Julio Moreno highlighted Bitcoin ETF outflows, negative Coinbase premiums, drying stablecoin liquidity, and absent structural bull drivers, suggesting the market has already entered a bear phase with limited upside catalysts.

Benjamin Cowen claimed Bitcoin goes below both the realized price and the balanced price in bear markets. He predicts BTC price crash below $40K amid bearish sentiment.

 Bitcoin Realized and Balanced Price
Bitcoin Realized and Balanced Price. Source: Benjamin Cowen

Peter Schiff Predicts Steeper BTC Price Crash Toward $10K

Gold advocate and economist Peter Schiff has reiterated his critical view that BTC faces a catastrophic downside. In recent statements, he noted that long-term charts indicate initial support around $10,000 and cautioned about Bitcoin’s weakness.

Schiff’s comments come amid the current selloff, framing Bitcoin as overvalued and vulnerable to broader macroeconomic pressures. Also, options traders adjusted their positions after the Non-farm payrolls data, with massive call and put volume.

BTC price is trading near $67K after a rebound from a 24-hour low of $65,757. In the last 24 hours, Bitcoin short-term holders moved 28,000 BTC to crypto exchanges at a loss. Traders are now awaiting Friday’s US CPI inflation data and crypto options expiry.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders P&L in 24H
Bitcoin Short-Term Holders P&L in 24H. Source: Maartunn
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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more… to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
Varinder is a seasoned leader in the fintech and crypto media with over 12 years of experience, including over 6 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. He is known for covering high-impact and quality news stories for publishers such as CoinGape, The Coin Republic, and The Crypto Times, while perfecting and training multiple journalists during his tenure. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, and tech enthusiast, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 6000 news articles and papers.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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