Arthur Hayes Says Rising Oil Prices to Trigger Fed Money Printing, How Bitcoin Could Move?

Varinder Singh
2 hours ago
Varinder Singh

Varinder Singh

Independent Sr. Journalist
Expertise : Bitcoin, Crypto, Global Macro, DeFi, Blockchain, Web3, US Stocks, AI, Regulations and Lawsuits, & More
Varinder is a seasoned leader in the fintech and crypto media with over 12 years of experience, including over 6 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. He is known for covering high-impact and quality news stories for publishers such as CoinGape, The Coin Republic, and The Crypto Times, while perfecting and training multiple journalists during his tenure. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, and tech enthusiast, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 6000 news articles and papers.
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Arthur Hayes Says Rising Oil Prices to Trigger Fed Money Printing, How Bitcoin Could Move?

Highlights

  • Arthur Hayes warns oil price rising due to US-Iran war could trigger Fed money printing.
  • Fed money printers have historically led to upside momentum in Bitcoin.
  • Crude oil prices dropped today amid Trump admin efforts to keep prices lower.
  • Analysts predicts a rally to $80,000 amid positive sentiment.

As the ongoing US-Iran conflict drives Brent crude oil prices sharply higher, BitMEX co-founder and crypto billionaire Arthur Hayes expects a money printing bailout by the US Federal Reserve. Will this trigger a Bitcoin rally?

Arthur Hayes Says US-Iran War Could Trigger Fed Money Printing

The US-Iran war has sent crude oil prices higher by nearly 20% amid fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East. In an X post on March 6, Arthur Hayes warns rising oil prices will send 10-year Treasury yields and the MOVE Index higher.

Historically, such conditions have forced money printing by the Federal Reserve to fund war-related spending. Notably, this would create a bullish tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets in the medium to long-term.

US 10-Year Treasury Yield, Oil Prices
US 10-Year Treasury Yield, Oil Prices. Source: Arthur Hayes

If Brent oil (green) keeps ripping due to US-Iran war, 10-yr yields might spike in a volatile way forcing MOVE Index higher and that is a prereq for a money printing bailout. Still early doors but something to watch.

While US President Donald Trump earlier confirmed the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East would continue for weeks, the Trump admin announced actions to keep oil prices down. Also, the US issued a 30-day waiver to allow India to buy Russian oil. Crude oil prices dropped more than 1% to $80 today.

How Bitcoin Could React?

Fed money printers have historically triggered upside momentum in Bitcoin as it brings liquidity. Currently, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are lagging due to thin liquidity and bear market speculation.

Arthur Hayes remains bullish on Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Arthur Hayes advises waiting for confirmed signs of Fed rate cuts or balance sheet expansion before buying Bitcoin and altcoins.

However, crypto market participants are also considering rising inflation concerns, which could push Fed rate cut odds to drop further. CME FedWatch Tool shows potential Fed rate cut in September.

Analysts predict a short-term recovery to $75,000-$80,000 if Bitcoin holds key support levels. Ali Martinez highlights $70,685 as a major support level.

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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more… to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
Varinder is a seasoned leader in the fintech and crypto media with over 12 years of experience, including over 6 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. He is known for covering high-impact and quality news stories for publishers such as CoinGape, The Coin Republic, and The Crypto Times, while perfecting and training multiple journalists during his tenure. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, and tech enthusiast, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 6000 news articles and papers.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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