Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: On-Chain Data Indicates Whales Still Selling

Bitcoin price jumps over 2% in the last 24 hours, but on-chain data reveals whales are still selling their BTC holdings
By Varinder Singh
Updated September 4, 2025
Decade Old Dormant Bitcoin (BTC) Address Wakes Up To 10,419% Profit

Bitcoin price soared over 2% in the last 24 hours, with the 1.67% rise coming in just an hour near 6 PM UTC on December 8. Since then, the BTC price tries to hold over $17k for an upside move. However, on-chain data indicates whales are still selling.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Still Under Pressure

Whale holding and spending behaviors can help to easily identify a Bitcoin market cycle. The UTXO Value Bands Metric indicates that an increasing trend in BTC prices is often associated with Bitcoin accumulation by large holders.

However, the on-chain data shows that whales continued to reduce their Bitcoin holdings since June 2022. After the Terra-LUNA crisis, Bitcoin whales have sold nearly 367k BTC. Also, the BTC price has declined continuously since June. Therefore, Bitcoin whales are still selling their BTC holdings, and Bitcoin price is under pressure.

Traders must observe whales increasing their BTC holdings to confirm a Bitcoin rally.

Bitcoin Spent Output Value Bands
Bitcoin Spent Output Value Bands. Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, the on-chain data indicates that whales with 1k-10k BTC continued to liquidate their BTC holdings during the miner capitulation phase until November. In fact, whales started accumulating Bitcoin but sold their BTC longs due to the collapse of crypto exchange FTX.

An upward sustained price trend is typically accompanied by whales holding their bitcoins. However, almost 80% Bitcoin selloff since June came from whales. Thus, the market cycle shift may come with much lower whale spending.

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BTC Price Fall Due to Miner Capitulation

While the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin bottom is still there, on-chain predicts BTC price can bottom at $12.8k. Analysts such as Michael van de Poppe and “Wolf of the Wall Street” Jordan Belfort believe Bitcoin can rally if it crosses $18k, suggesting $16.5k as a critical support level.

As per CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin price is currently trading at $17,208, up over 2% in the last 24 hours. The 24-hour low and high are $16,788 and $17,274, respectively.

Also Read: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Dump Incoming? On-Chain Data Reveals Bottom

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Varinder Singh
Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space. At CoinGape Media, Varinder leads the editorial decisions, spearheading the news team to cover latest updates, markets trends and developments within the crypto industry. The company was recognized as Best Crypto Media Company 2024 for high impact and quality reporting. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.
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