Over 18000 Bitcoin Options Set To Expire, Real Panic Selloff Is Yet To Come

Crypto traders brace for impact as more than 18,300 Bitcoin options and 163,170 ETH options set to expire, while on-chain analyst claims real crypto selloff hasn't yet started.
By Varinder Singh
Crypto Market Crash: BTC and Altcoin Liquidations Top $914 Million Amid Liquidity Crisis

Highlights

  • Crypto market crash escalates as BTC price fell below $54k.
  • Over 18,300 BTC options to expire on Deribit.
  • Meanwhile, 163,170 ETH options set to expire to put further pressure.
  • On-chain data indicates panic selloff isn't even here yet after $700 million in crypto liquidation.

Bitcoin investors sold their holdings in panic after recent actions by Mt. Gox, the US government, and the German government. This drove the price of Bitcoin down to $53,400, a level last noted in February. The expiry of Bitcoin and Ethereum options today puts even more pressure on the cryptocurrency market, with on-chain data indicating that there may be more panic selling to come.

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Bitcoin and Ethereum Set to Expire Today

The crypto market crash saw the global crypto market cap tumble by more than 13% in 48 hours, causing investors to over 250 billion.

Over 18,300 BTC options of notional value $1 billion are set to expire on Deribit, with a put-call ratio of 0.65. The max pain is at $61,500, sliding from $63,500 as Bitcoin remains under selling pressure. BTC price fell below $55k support and risks falling to $52k support if it fails to rebound.

Bitcoin options expiry

Notably, the put/call ratio in the last 24 hours is 0.88 as put bets rose significantly in the crypto market crash. The 24-hour put volume is above 19,552 and the 24-hour call volume is near 22,088. Also, Historical Volatility and BTC Volatility Index (DVOL) witnessed a sharp 10% rise surge. This indicates options traders have turned highly bearish on Bitcoin.

Meanwhile, 163,170 ETH options of notional value $472 million are set to expire. The put-call ratio is 0.35 and the max pain price is $3,350, indicating massive losses for traders as ETH price fell below $2,890. In the last 24 hours, the put volume has increased to 98,643 and call volume remained higher at 126,788. The put-call ratio is 0.78.

Ethereum Options Expiry
Source: Deribit
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$700 Million Liquidated From Crypto Market

According to a CryptoQuant verified on-chain analyst, the real panic hasn’t even started yet. He predicts it will start when orange bars appear on BTC Daily Realized Profit Loss Ratio 30DMA metric. “In the current situation, 47K doesn’t look as terrible as it did three weeks ago when we were at 70K,” he added.

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The crypto market saw over $700 million in crypto liquidations, as per Coinglass data. Over 235k traders were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation order on crypto exchange Binance valued at $18.48 million as someone sold ETH.

The crypto market bleeds as over $600 million in long positions and $100 million in short positions were liquidated over the last 24 hours. Along with top altcoins, major liquidations were observed in PEPE, PEOPLE, ORDI, WLD, LTC, FIL, ADA, BCH, and others.

Crypto Market Liquidations
Source: Coinglass

Beleaguered crypto exchange Mt. Gox has started $10 billion in BTC and BCH repayments, as per an official announcement on July 5. According to Arkham, Mt. Gox moved 47.229k BTC worth $2.97 billion today.

 

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Varinder Singh
Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space. At CoinGape Media, Varinder leads the editorial decisions, spearheading the news team to cover latest updates, markets trends and developments within the crypto industry. The company was recognized as Best Crypto Media Company 2024 for high impact and quality reporting. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.
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