Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin (BTC) Reaches Historical Bear Markets Bottom

Varinder Singh
November 26, 2022 Updated September 4, 2025
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Bitcoin Price Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) price holds above the $16.5k level despite the collapse of FTX crypto exchange. While mathematical models and veteran analysts predict $14,000 as the BTC bottom, some analysts including Michael van de Poppe suggests Bitcoin price may recover based on historical data.

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Will Bitcoin (BTC) Follow Historical Patterns This Time?

Popular crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe in a tweet on November 26 shared Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV Ratio) data of Bitcoin. According to MVRV ratio data, Bitcoin has reached the same level as the previous bear markets.

 Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value Ratio
Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Historically, BTC price has recovered from these levels in November 2018, January 2015, and November 2011. While Bitcoin has mostly followed its historical chart patterns, most don’t think Bitcoin will follow the data this time. People expect Bitcoin to fall even more as the crypto market still remains under pressure.

However, Michael van de Poppe recommends accumulating and holding Bitcoin at the current level for short-term and long-term periods. Bitcoin price could soar to $18,400 if it breaks above the $16,800-17,000 range. Whales have already started buying the dip as Bitcoin and Ethereum fell below support levels.

According to on-chain data, the ratio of BTC, which looks purchased between 1 week and 1 month, recently reached 3% of total UXTO. It is the lowest point based on this downtrend, but it has been increasing since the FTX crisis. It suggests that some are accumulating Bitcoin for the long-term perspective.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Remains Strong Above $16.5K

Bitcoin price currently remains strong above the $16.5k level. In the last 24 hours, the BTC price saw a high of $16,666.

At the time of writing, BTC price trades at $16,580, up nearly 1% in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, Ethereum has shown much price action, rising over 3% in the last 24 hours. Whales have started accumulating Ethereum this week, with nearly $150 million moved by whales in the last 24 hours.

Also Read: Genesis FUD Subdues As Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) Recovers

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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space. At CoinGape Media, Varinder leads the editorial decisions, spearheading the news team to cover latest updates, markets trends and developments within the crypto industry. The company was recognized as Best Crypto Media Company 2024 for high impact and quality reporting. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.