Bitcoin Bullish Fundamentals Wanes Ahead Of FOMC; Wall Street Estimates

Varinder Singh
March 21, 2023
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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
bitcoin price

Bitcoin price holds above $28,000 as traders speculate whether more upside momentum still exists. Investors are awaiting the crucial rate hike decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve after the FOMC meeting on Wednesday amid the banking crisis in the U.S.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates there’s an 18.1% probability of no rate hike by the Fed and an 81.9% probability for a 25 bps rate hike. Moreover, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has hit a 16-month high of 68, with the market sentiment currently in the ‘Greed‘ zone.

Bitcoin Fundamentals Shifting Ahead of FOMC

Massive Bitcoin rally in the last two weeks pushed BTC price to hit over $28,000 after 9 months. However, the fundamentals are changing ahead of the FOMC rate hike decision.

Bitcoin Futures Perpetual
Bitcoin Futures Perpetual Funding Rates. Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin futures perpetual funding rate just turned negative for the first time in a week as traders speculate whether a correction is coming next. Bearish sentiment ahead of the crucial FOMC rate hike will likely cause Bitcoin price to fall below $27,000 again.

Meanwhile, the dump on BTC dominance is creating a spike in altcoins, with Ethereum and XRP jumping 3% and 5% in just an hour, respectively. Moreover, miner reserves dropped by 668 BTC in the last 48 hours, which suggests that miners have sold around $18,370,000 worth of BTC.

Bitcoin: Miner Reserves
Bitcoin Miner Reserves: Source CryptoQuant

Wall Street Estimates On Fed Rate Hike

Tesla CEO Elon Musk, economist Peter Schiff, and billionaire Bill Ackman have warned the U.S. Fed and FDIC of worsening banking crisis and market conditions if the central bank decides to continue rate hikes. Bill Ackman believes the Fed should pause, while Elon Musk replied “Fed needs to drop the rate by at least 50bps on Wednesday.

For the first time in many years, Wall Street giants have given mixed estimates on the Fed rate hike. Barclays, Credit Suisse, and Goldman Sachs no longer expect the Fed to hike rates in March. Meanwhile, Bloomberg, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, BMO, and Citi estimate a 25 bps rate hike.

Also Read: LUNC News: Developer Edward Kim Hints At Terra Luna Classic Becoming AI Chain

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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more… to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space. At CoinGape Media, Varinder leads the editorial decisions, spearheading the news team to cover latest updates, markets trends and developments within the crypto industry. The company was recognized as Best Crypto Media Company 2024 for high impact and quality reporting. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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