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Highlights
- The crypto market expects a 0.5% US Fed rate cut in September, boosting optimism and potential rallies.
- The FOMC meeting and Powell's speech are likely to impact the crypto market's upcoming stance and trends.
- The soaring bets over the 50 bps Fed rate cut helped Bitcoin price to hit $60K last week.
The crypto market is bracing to enter a crucial week, amid soaring bets over a 50 bps US Fed rate cut. This marks a significant phase for the broader financial market, let alone the crypto space, with the US FOMC interest-rate decision in focus. In addition, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also scheduled to speak following the FOMC meeting, which would provide cues on the central bank’s upcoming stance with their policy rate plans.
Crypto Market To Enter A Crucial Week
The crypto market eagerly awaits the much-awaited September FOMC meeting on the policy rates. With the latest cooling US CPI and PPI inflation figures, bets are recently soaring over a 0.5% Fed rate cut at the upcoming meeting.
Notably, this optimistic view has also fueled a rally in the broader financial market, with the US stock market noting its best trading week since November last year. In addition, Bitcoin soared past the $60K mark last week, indicating the increasing risk-bet appetite of the market participants.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 50% probability of a 50 bps rate cut by the US Federal Reserve at their upcoming meeting. Simultaneously, the same bets are also there towards a smaller rate cut of 0.25%. Besides, the market is anticipating a 100 bps cut in the policy rates with three rate cuts this year. This development appears to have bolstered the broader market sentiment.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Speech In Focus
Following the FOMC interest-rate cut decision on Wednesday, September 18, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also expected to hold a press conference on the same date. The crypto market will keep a close watch on the speech for cues on the potential move of the central bank going forward.
Although it is expected that Powell would signal a dovish stance, given the recent economic data, any other move could dampen the market sentiment. It’s worth noting that last week Bitcoin and the top altcoins noted a recovery following the soaring bets over a larger interest rate cut. Having said that, any hawkish comment could hinder the recovery phase of the crypto market, potentially triggering a massive selloff in the broader financial sector.
Meanwhile, September tends to be a bearish month for the crypto sector, especially Bitcoin. However, market expert predicts that with soaring bets over an easing policy rate plan, the market may witness a strong rebound ahead. In addition, the fourth quarter is also expected to bring a bullish sentiment among investors, potentially triggering a rally in the market.
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