Crypto Market May Crash Ahead of Court Tariff Ruling, Top Analyst Highlights

A leading crypto analyst has warned that a potential crypto market crash is looming that may happen this upcoming Friday. This comes ahead of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision on the Trump tariffs.

Crypto Market Crash Claims Tied to Supreme Court Tariff Ruling

Key opinion leader Wimar has warned that Friday, January 9, could be a turning point of sorts in the markets of 2026. According to him, if the Supreme Court ruling states that Trump tariffs are illegitimate, it could cause chaos in the markets.

The prediction markets seem to confirm this concern. The data obtained from Polymarket indicates a probability of about 79% that the court would be striking down the tariffs.

If so, Wimar states that markets will instantaneously price in not only the obligation to refund but also lost governmental revenue. According to his observation, it is in these conditions that liquidity grabs occur easily in bonds, digital assets included.

Trump repeatedly said the tariffs brought in nearly $600 billion. A loss would leave investors wondering how much money needs to be returned and how fast refunds would be issued.

He warned that such questions rarely lead to orderly price discovery, instead, traders usually reprice everything at once, which could lead to a crypto market crash.

The Supreme Court may reach a decision on the case by this Friday. It was observed that some justices seemed doubtful during the argumentations presented in November. It was argued that the President could use the authority given by the emergency powers law passed in 1977 to impose large trade tariffs.

The decision against the policy would be the biggest blow to Trump in the courthouse since his return to office. Trump has himself publicly supported the tariffs.

“I hope they do what’s good for our country. I hope they do the right thing. The President has to be able to wheel and deal with tariffs,” he said.

Why are Investors Watching the Tariff Ruling?

Early April 2025, Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff against imports from over 50 nations, which led to a crypto market crash. The value of Bitcoin reduced more than 10% within a week.

But relief came in when the White House declared a 90-day tariff pause. Not long after, the market saw a rebound in digital assets as well as equities linked with crytptocurrencies.

However, in October 2025, the rekindled tensions between the US and China resulted in yet another market crash for crypto. After the warning of a 100% tariff on Chinese imports, Bitcoin dipped by over $10,000 within an hour.

More than 19 billion in long positions were liquidated in 24 hours alone. These were the largest losses the market had ever experienced in the sector. Against these precedents, market participants are closely watching the Friday ruling.

In another post, the analyst said Trump would not take the decision lightly if not in his favor.

🚨 FRIDAY IS THE START OF A NEW US TRADE WAR!

Trade war headlines = DUMP.

February 2025: BTC -8.4%, ETH -25%
April 2025: BTC -10.5%, ETH -18%
October 2025: BTC -9.4%, ETH -34%

The market is pricing Supreme Court decision – tariffs are illegal.

It's NOT pricing the next move.… https://t.co/WzyPTSioKD pic.twitter.com/BEk1rZMFlL

— Wimar.X (@DefiWimar) January 7, 2026