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Bitcoin Can Rebound Anytime So Long Capital Keeps Flowing In, Says CryptoQuant CEO

Paul Adedoyin
2 hours ago
Paul Adedoyin is a crypto journalist with 4+ years experience who provides timely news, in-depth research, and insightful content to inform and empower his audience. His works have been featured on sites such as CryptoMode, CryptoNewsFlash among others. He holds a degree in Geophysics from OAU, Nigeria. When he's not writing, he loves watching soccer and reading educative journals. He can be reached via [email protected]
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CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju pictured with floating Bitcoin symbols, highlighting his analysis of Bitcoin’s market resilience.

Highlights

  • The realized cap for Bitcoin hit a new all time high, proving that the demand is high despite the recent fluctuating prices.
  • Selling by Long-term holders have reduced as BTC price trades at the $96,000 zone.
  • Macro tightening is enhancing downside fears, as prediction markets show the probability that BTC price will fall below $90,000.

Bitcoin’s recent slide into the mid-$90,000s has raised fears across the market. But CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says the price structure remains far stronger than many traders believe.

Realized Cap Surge Signals Strong Bitcoin Demand Amid Pullback

Ki Young Ju believes that Bitcoin can recover at any time provided capital inflows are maintained. He stated this after the price dropped drastically from $114,000 the previous week. This was a fall that coincided with the increased strength in the dollar and real yields.

It is a continuation of the downtrend in Bitcoin price after it dropped below $100,000 following the reopening of the U.S. government. The drop is significant given that many analyst expected the reopening to cause a rise in the coin’s price.

Ju referenced the realized cap data to support his claim. The realized cap of the Bitcoin reached the all-time high of $1.12 trillion and that means that more buyers are still continuing to accumulate the asset at a higher price.

Usually, the metric only increases with new capital entering the market. As such, it is one of the best indicators of the underlying demand. This trend mirrors recent institutional accumulation, including a $162 million Bitcoin buy by Strive owned by Vivek Ramaswamy.

The increase in this metric happened as Bitcoin lost more than 10% of its value in three days. Thus, the claims of weakening market structure are exaggerated.

Key Support Emerges as Whale Outflows Begin to Cool

Ki Young Ju also referenced cost-basis levels for recent entrants. His latest chart shows that wallets aged 6 to 12 months hold a realized price near $94,000. He says the market should not confirm a bear cycle unless Bitcoin falls decisively below that zone.

According to him, the $94,000 region is now one of the most important support clusters of this cycle. Currently, BTC price is $96,056 after recording modest gains in the last day.

Based on his statement regarding Bitcoin’s oldest whales, Glassnode data shows long-term holders moved average of 26,500 BTC per day this month. Although these levels appear heavy, the intensity of outflows from these reduced this week.

Large seven-year-old wallets that moved more than 1,000 BTC per day last week have slowed significantly. Such a cooldown often marks the beginning of price stability in major pullbacks.

Macro Tightening Drives Fear As Downside Odds Climb

Ju also pointed to macro conditions that pushed Bitcoin lower. The strong dollar and rising yields pressured risk assets throughout the week. Based on Ju’s perspective, Bitcoin does not need a new catalyst to rebound. Instead, it only requires a pause in macro tightening.

Meanwhile, prediction market data from Kalshi shows traders remain unsure about near-term levels. A recent contract asking “How low will Bitcoin get this year?” shows rising expectations for a deeper downside probe.

Traders now assign a 63% chance that Bitcoin will trade below $90,000 at some point before year-end. This probability climbed in recent days as volatility increased.

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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more… to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
Paul Adedoyin is a crypto journalist with 4+ years experience who provides timely news, in-depth research, and insightful content to inform and empower his audience. His works have been featured on sites such as CryptoMode, CryptoNewsFlash among others. He holds a degree in Geophysics from OAU, Nigeria. When he's not writing, he loves watching soccer and reading educative journals. He can be reached via [email protected]
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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