First Bitcoin (BTC) Options Expiry After ETF Approval, Uncertainty Prevails

Bhushan Akolkar
January 12, 2024
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96000 BTC Options Expiry Sets Max Pain Price At $61,000, What's Next?

With the historic first day of trading on Wall Street for the spot Bitcoin ETF, the BTC price has given a muted response. As of press time, Bitcoin is trading 0.87% down at a price of $46,080 and a market cap of $902 billion. Also, the Bitcoin options data suggests a muted response in trading activity.

Bitcoin Options Expiry

As of January 12, Greeks.Live reports that 36,000 Bitcoin options are on the verge of expiration, revealing a Put Call Ratio of 0.9, a Maxpain point at $45,000, and a notional value of $1.68 billion.

This week marked the anticipated approval of the Bitcoin Spot ETF, amidst a backdrop of recurrent fake news and breaking news, contributing to frequent and sharp volatility in the market. As forecasted earlier in the week, employing a LONG GAMMA strategy appeared to be cost-effective during this period.

In the lead-up to the ETF approval, short-term implied volatilities (IVs) experienced a peak, followed by a notable decline in major term IVs due to market volatility falling below expectations. While the adoption of the Bitcoin Spot ETF is likely to inject incremental capital into the crypto market in the long term, short-term uncertainty persists. Various factors in play could contribute to sustained sharp volatility, similar to the fluctuations witnessed throughout this week.

Courtesy: Greeks.Live

BTC Active Wallets on the Decline

Apart from Bitcoin options data, Santiment, an on-chain data provider, highlights the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, suggesting a potential trend of a slight decrease in active wallets on Bitcoin’s blockchain. The decline in the total number of active BTC wallets stands at $0,000 since the beginning of this year 2024.

While this shift may not significantly impact the cryptocurrency’s price, Santiment anticipates that a portion of traders might opt to transition from their existing BTC wallets to embrace ETF exposure for cryptocurrency investments.

Courtesy: Santiment

Investors remain unimpressed by the current Bitcoin (BTC) price, as the excitement surrounding the spot BTC Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is not translating into significant gains.

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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Bhushan is a seasoned crypto writer with over eight years of experience spanning more than 10,000 contributions across multiple platforms like CoinGape, CoinSpeaker, Bitcoinist, Crypto News Flash, and others. Being a Fintech enthusiast, he loves reporting across Crypto, Blockchain, DeFi, Global Macros with a keen understanding in financial markets. 

He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills. Bhushan has a bachelors degree in electronics engineering, however, his interest in finance and economics drives him to crypto and blockchain.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.