Bitcoin Price Support Near $19,800 Aided Recovery; Are Gains Sustainable?

In our previous Bitcoin price analysis, we find out a strong support level placed near $19,800. In the short-term time frame, the bulls defended the key level and managed to hold $20,000.

Now, the question is whether the upside is sustainable or it’s just a bull trap.

• Bitcoin price trades in a very tight range with a neutral bias.
• On the daily chart, the bullish pattern invokes upside momentum hope.
• However, a reversal cannot be ruled out below $19,800.

Bitcoin price stabilizes near $20,000

On the daily chart, BTC formed a “Bullish Shark” harmonic pattern. In a bullish Shark formation, the second top is higher than the first one. Further, it combines Fibonacci with Elliott’s waves theory, and some new ratios like 88.6% are used. Along with this bullish pattern, the price hasn’t broken its previous swing low as well, indicating a possible reversal in the short term. 

According to this pattern, If the price closes above a strong bearish candle, tested the 88.6% Fib. level ($20,320), then we can expect a bullish movement of up to ($22,400). The conclusion is that the price is still bearish, and has a possibility to go down even more in the future to its recent swing low. However, if additional buying could sustain ($19,800) this week, then we can expect a reversal in the coming weeks. 

Bitcoin price analysis on the 4-hour  chart shows the formation of a “Falling Wedge” pattern. The falling wedge can be one of the most difficult chart patterns to accurately recognize and trade.

When lower highs and lower lows form, as in a falling wedge, security remains in a downtrend. The falling wedge is designed to spot a decrease in downside momentum and alert technicians to a potential trend reversal.

The price even formed a “Double Bottom” pattern, on the support levels, indicating bullishness. 

The nearest support is ($19,800), whereas the nearest resistance is around ($20,400). There is a higher probability of the price breaking its resistance. But, if any chance price tends to come close to its support, and we’ve seen any rejection there with rising volumes, then we can still deploy the “Buy on dips” strategy.

On the other hand, a break below the $19,800 level could invalidate the bullish outlook. And the price can drag toward $19,300.

Bitcoin price is slightly mixed to mildly bullish on all time frames. Above  $20,200  closing on the hourly time frame, we can put a trade on the buy side.

As of writing, BTC/USD is trading at $20,098, down 0.22% for the day.