Cardano Price Analysis: How Chang Hard Fork Can Drive ADA Rally to $0.6

Cardano Price Analysis: ADA  price shows signs of recovery amid a 16% rebound and the upcoming Chang Hard Fork.
By Sahil Mahadik
Updated November 6, 2024
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Highlights

  • The Cardano price could prolong its correction trend untill the falling wedge patterns intact,
  •  A bearish crossover state in the daily EMAs (5<20<50<100,<200) hints that the path to least resistance is upward. 
  • The intraday trading volume in the ADA coin is $259.5 Million, indicating a 9.8% loss.

Cardano Price Analysis: ADA, the native cryptocurrency of the Cardano ecosystem has been rising for three consecutive days amid broader market recovery. The Bitcoin price reversal from $55000 and resilience to the continued selling from the German government has eased supply pressure from the market. The renewed recovery has uplifted the ADA price to $0.384, heading close to a bullish breakout from a major reversal pattern.

Also Read: Institutional FOMO On Spot Bitcoin ETF As German Govt Continues BTC Sell-off

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Cardano Price Analysis: Is a Breakout from the Wedge Pattern Imminent?

BINANCE:ADAUSDT Chart
Cardano Price Analysis| Tradingview

Over the past four months, the Cardano price has witnessed a steady downtrend amid the wedge pattern formation. The two converging trendlines plunged the ADA price from $0.81 to $0.357, registering a loss of $55.9%. 

However, in theory, this pattern indicates the maturity of bearish momentum which eventually bolsters buyers to regain control. Along with market recovery, the upcoming hard fork, bolstered by the altcoin, rebounded from the pattern’s support at $0.33 to $0.38 registering a recovery of 16%.

Cardano is gearing up for its next major update, the Chang Hard Fork, which marks a significant step towards decentralized, community-run governance. The hard fork requires approval from 70% of stake pool operators after their testing and updating phases. 

Historically, such updates have had substantial impacts on Cardano’s token, ADA; for instance, the Alonzo hard fork in 2021 spurred a remarkable 130% surge in ADA’s price from $1.35 to $3.10 within a month. This impressive performance underscores the potential impact of major network upgrades on Cardano’s market value. 

During a Sunday livestream, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson announced that the network’s upgraded node, referred to as node v9.0, is prepared for release. This crucial update is scheduled to roll out next week, provided there are no unforeseen issues.

Amid the development, the ADA price is more likely to breach the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. A potential breakout will signal the early sign of trend reversal and provide buyers with suitable support.

A post-breakout rally could drive the Cardano price to $0.52, followed by $0.62.

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Technical Indicator:

  • RSI: A notable higher-low formation in the daily Relative Strength Index slope marks the increasing accumulation trend in the asset during a market dip
  • EMAs: The 0-and-50-day Exponential Moving Average as dynamic resistance indicates the near-term trend is active bearish.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What is the "RSI"

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100.

2. What is a "Wedge Pattern,"?

A Wedge Pattern is a technical analysis chart pattern characterized by converging trendlines that indicate a pause in the prevailing trend.

3. What is a "Hard Fork" in blockchain technology,

A Hard Fork is a significant update to a blockchain's protocol that is not backward compatible, often resulting in a split from the original chain.
Sahil Mahadik
Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading
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