Cardano Price Forecast With Chang Hard Fork Going Live

The network is set to become the largest fully decentralized blockchain by market cap, but a "sell-the-news" sentiment seems to drive the Cardano price down.
By Evans Karanja
Updated July 15, 2025
Cardano Price Could Drop To $0.53 Unless This Happens

Highlights

  • Cardano price eyes at least a 4.8% drop from $0.3378.
  • Social dominance dropped over the last three days, but positive sentiment remained higher.
  • Chang hard fork looms and may be projecting ‘sell-the-news’ vibes.

Just six hours before the Chang upgrade, the Cardano price broke below a critical support level, igniting fear and uncertainty among investors. The Chang hard fork is the main event on the Cardano network, but the hype isn’t helping the price. Meanwhile, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson plans to launch a decentralized social media platform in Brazil following the X ban. Will ADA have a role to play in this new network? 

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Chang Projects ‘Sell-The-News’ Vibes on Cardano Price

Cardano’s price has dropped by 3.4% in the last 24 hours, currently trading at $0.3358. Despite Charles Hoskinson’s efforts to drive the Chang hard fork, including burning the last of the Cardano Genesis keys, the price remains unmoved.

As Cardano loses some functionality and the Chang hard fork approaches in just a few hours, it is set to become the largest fully decentralized blockchain by market cap. However, on-chain metrics suggest a different market sentiment. 

Data from Santiment indicates that the Cardano price-to-Daily Active Addresses (DAA) divergence plummeted to a two-month low on September 1, signaling a decrease in network activity. 

This drop, coupled with a steady decline in social dominance, points to waning interest in the project despite the positive news surrounding the upgrade. 

Cardano Price

Additionally, the daily on-chain transaction volume in loss ($2.49 billion) surpassed profit ($1.98 billion) while the ADA price dropped. This signals that more investors could be selling their assets at a loss, which often happens when market sentiment turns negative and investors want to cut their losses.

Onchain Transaction in profit

However, for Cardano, it may just be a case of ‘sell-the-news’ as the Chang hard fork goes live less than six hours from now. Many investors who may have bought at higher prices anticipating a pump might now be exiting their positions.

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ADA Price Could Rebound Soon

The network realized profit/loss increased in the last five days as Cardano price dropped. The increase in realized profits suggests that most ADA investors are still in profit despite the price drop. However, as observed in the daily profit ratio, the price drop could be from some investors in loss selling their assets to cut losses as the price declines.

Cardano (ADA)

Additionally, the Cardano social dominance has declined over the past three days. However, positive sentiment still outweighs negative, suggesting that while there may be less attention or discussion on social media, the occurring conversations are generally favorable. Despite the drop in social dominance, this sustained positive sentiment indicates a potential for a price rebound.

santiment

Cardano price is in a difficult position. With hype waning, the asset eyes at least a 4.8% drop from the current price and potentially an 8.2% further drop if market conditions prevail. In the future, more ADA utility or the general market bull run may spur price growth.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What is the Chang hard fork, and why is it significant?

The Chang hard fork is a major upgrade on the Cardano network, designed to enhance its functionality and decentralization. Once the upgrade is complete, Cardano is set to become the largest fully decentralized blockchain by market cap.

2. Is the Cardano community still optimistic despite the price drop?

Yes, although Cardano's social dominance has decreased over the last few days, the sentiment remains predominantly positive. This could indicate a potential for a price rebound in the near future.

3. Could Cardano price rebound soon?

Despite the recent price drop, the positive sentiment and the realized profit/loss data suggest that most ADA investors are still in profit. This, combined with potential upcoming utility and market factors, could lead to a price rebound in the near future.
Evans Karanja
Evans Karanja is a crypto analyst and journalist with a deep focus on blockchain technology, cryptocurrency, and the video gaming industry. His extensive experience includes collaborating with various startups to deliver insightful and high-quality analyses that resonate with their target audiences. As an avid crypto trader and investor, Evans is passionate about the transformative potential of blockchain across diverse sectors. Outside of his professional pursuits, he enjoys playing video games and exploring scenic waterfalls.
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