Ethereum Price Prediction: Falling Wedge Pattern hints China tariff tailwinds could lift by ETH 250%

ibrahim
April 5, 2025 Updated April 7, 2025
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Ethereum Price Signals Strong Recovery After Forming Historical Pattern From 2020

Highlights

  • Ethereum price lags behind Bitcoin and Solana, but China’s 34% tariffs could introduce fresh volatility, driving capital into crypto.
  • ETH forms a bullish falling wedge, hinting at a 250% rally, with confirmation needed above $1,900 for upward continuation.
  • A Fed rate pause may boost DeFi activity, increasing ETH demand as investors seek yield-bearing alternatives amid low treasury returns.

Ethereum price eyes a 250% rally as China’s 34% tariffs on U.S. goods fuel macro uncertainty, driving capital into crypto markets.

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Why China’s 34% Tariffs on U.S. Goods Could Propel ETH 250%

Ethereum price traded near $1,820 on Friday, rising 1.6% in a muted performance compared to broader market leaders. While Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), and XRP all rallied over 3%, ETH lagged behind.

However, China’s 34% tariffs on U.S. imports introduce fresh volatility triggers that could accelerate ETH’s upside momentum.

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BTC/Nasdaq Correlation Hits 37-Day Low Amid Trade War Tensions

Markets reacted sharply to China’s unexpected decision to impose 34% tariffs on a broad range of U.S. imports.

Equities dipped in early trading, but crypto assets remained largely resilient.

According to TradingView data, Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq 100 fell to 0.42, its lowest level since February 25.

Bitcoin price correlation to NASDAQ 100 | BTCUSD
Bitcoin Price Correlation to NASDAQ 100 | BTCUSD

Historically, such divergence signals capital rotation. When equities experience trade-related instability, investors often seek alternative hedges, initially favouring Bitcoin.

If momentum continues, ETH price typically follows with steeper gains.

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Reallocation Accelerates as Macro Risks Intensify

The current geopolitical backdrop mirrors 2019, when market turbulence from COVID-19 lockdowns led to increased capital inflows into crypto.

With global retaliation measures now escalating following Trump’s tariff rollout, ETH price could soon surpass the $1,900 resistance level and sustain a broader uptrend.

US Fed Rate Pause Could Boost Ethereum’s DeFi Ecosystem

Following the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting, another rate pause now seems likely. If traditional savings and treasury yields remain low, investors may shift capital into DeFi for higher returns.

As the leading smart contract platform, Ethereum’s DeFi sector could see rising demand, increasing ETH accumulation.

If additional retaliatory trade measures emerge, alternative assets like ETH may gain further traction.

ETH Price Forecast: Falling Wedge Pattern Hints at a 250% Rally

Ethereum price is forming a falling wedge, a historically bullish pattern suggesting a potential 250% breakout toward $3,200. ETH is testing the wedge’s upper boundary near $1,900, with confirmation requiring a sustained close above this level.

The MACD indicator signals early bullish momentum, with an imminent MACD line crossover. If buyers sustain pressure above VWAP at $1,804, ETH could confirm the wedge breakout and accelerate higher.

ETH Price Forecast
ETH Price Forecast

However, rejection at $1,900 could invalidate the bullish outlook, exposing ETH to $1,600 support. A breakdown below this level might send prices toward $1,400, aligning with historical support zones.

Ethereum next move depends on Bitcoin’s strength and macroeconomic trends. If ETH breaks out, it could mirror past parabolic rallies, but failure to breach resistance may lead to deeper corrections before a true recovery. Traders should monitor volume and momentum for confirmation.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. How could China’s tariffs on U.S. goods impact Ethereum’s price?

China’s tariffs introduce macroeconomic volatility, potentially driving investors toward crypto as a hedge, which could boost Ethereum’s price.

2. What technical pattern suggests a 250% Ethereum price rally?

Ethereum is forming a falling wedge, a historically bullish pattern that could push ETH toward $3,200 if confirmed above $1,900.

3. How does the Fed’s rate pause affect Ethereum’s price?

Lower traditional yields could drive capital into Ethereum’s DeFi ecosystem, increasing demand for ETH as investors seek higher returns.
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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Crypto analyst covering derivatives markets, macro trends, technical analysis, and DeFi. His works feature in-depth market insights, price forecasts, and institutional-grade research on digital assets.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.