Will Bitcoin Price Repeat Its Q4 Rally Pattern After a Bullish September?

Bitcoin price eyes a potential Q4 rally after a bullish September. Institutional inflows and a bullish flag pattern signal strong market sentiment.
By Sahil Mahadik
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Highlights

  • Years like 2021, 2020, and 2017 showed Bitcoin posting substantial gains of 40% or more in Q4 after positive September closes.
  • Bitcoin price is 3.85% away from challenging a bullish breakout from seven months of resistance.
  • Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.1 billion in net inflows last week, highlighting strong institutional demand.

Bitcoin price shows a modest loss of 0.13% during Sunday trading, currently trading at $65789. If the monthly candle closes around the aforementioned value, September 2024 would record around 15% growth. The historical shows this recovery trend in this month  is rare, but if happening it signals the potential growth in Q4.

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Is Bitcoin Price Poised to Repeat Its Q4 Rally After a September Upswing

According to the Coinglass data, the Bitcoin price trades at $65818 while the market cap holds at $1.3 Trillion. If the monthly candle closes around $65800, September 2024 would record an 11.5%-15% growth.

Since 2013, Bitcoin has experienced a September positive trend only thrice scenarios, each acting as a precursor of the significant rally to 2024. If history is an indicator, the BTC price could witness a prolonged recovery in Quarter 4, potentially pushing the asset past All time high of $73,750.

Bitcoin Monthly returns
Bitcoin Monthly returns | Coinglass

ETFs are heating up in the cryptocurrency market, with spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessing substantial inflows last week. On Friday alone, Bitcoin recorded a remarkable $494.4 million in net inflows, according to Sosolvaue data.

Over the weeks, the spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed a weekly inflow of +$1.1B, indicating growing institutional interest.  Moreover, the spot ETH ETH recorded a $85 million weekly info. This inflow is a positive sign for the market, potentially indicating rising confidence in digital assets.

Spot BTC ETF
Spot BTC ETF
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BTC Eyes 25% Rally as Bull Flag Pattern Signals Breakout

This week, the Bitcoin price prediction recorded a substantial jump from $60800 to $65910, registering a 5% This upswing assisted the price to extend V-shaped in the daily chart, reflecting a sudden flip in market sentiment.

With sustained buying, the BTC price surged 3% before challenging the resistance trendline of a bull-flag pattern. Theoretically, the chart setup drives a temporary counter-trend move before providing a deceive breakout.

An upside breakout will accelerate the bullish momentum and drive a rally to $85000, accounting for 25% potential growth. 

Bitcoin Price
BTC/USD -1d Chart

On a contrary note, if the overhead supply from the resistance trendline persists, the Bitcoin price could spark another reversal.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. How much institutional interest has Bitcoin seen recently?

Bitcoin ETFs recorded strong institutional demand last week, with over $1.1 billion in net inflows

2. Bitcoin on track for another Q4 rally in 2024 after a strong September?

Historically, Bitcoin has posted substantial Q4 gains following positive September closes, as seen in 2017, 2020, and 2021. If this pattern repeats, Bitcoin could see a major rally, potentially surpassing its all-time high of $73,750 in Q4 2024.

3. What is the potential impact of a bull-flag breakout on Bitcoin's price?

A bull-flag pattern on the Bitcoin chart suggests a potential upside breakout. If this occurs, Bitcoin could rally up to 25%, driving the price to around $85,000.
Sahil Mahadik
Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading
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