XRP Price Should Be Worth $5,800 Based on This Calculation, But It Isn’t, Here’s Why

XRP price should be worth $5,800 per Samson Mow's calculation, but this remains an impossible target with Ripple's immense 58B supply.
By muthoni
Updated April 25, 2025
XRP Price Should Be Worth $5,800 Based on This Calculation, But It Isn't, Here's Why

Highlights

  • XRP price needs to rally to $5,800 to offer the same investment value as BTC per analyst Samson Mow.
  • However, $5,800 is an unattainable target for Ripple considering the immense supply of 58 billion tokens.
  • The daily price chart indicates that bearish momentum is weakening, paving the way for Ripple to recover.

Top analyst and Bitcoin maxi Samson Mow opines that the XRP price should trade at $5,800 for it to give investors the same value as Bitcoin. However, this price target is highly unrealistic for Ripple, considering the altcoin’s immense circulating supply.

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Samson Mow Pegs XRP Price at $5,800 – Here’s the Math 

While making his argument in an X post, Mow advocated for Bitcoin as the most ideal crypto investment, adding that altcoins such as XRP were not worth their current trading price. He added that XRP would need to hit $5,800 to reach its true value. He attained this target by dividing Ripple’s current market cap by Bitcoin’s supply of 21 million coins. 

“Most altcoins take advantage of unit bias by utilizing a very high supply, so people can’t figure out what they’re buying. “XRP is only $2 but Bitcoin is too expensive at $85,000!” Unit bias is absolutely destroying the uninitiated.” 

Mow also noted that buying Ripple with the XRP value today of around $2 is the same as buying a small fraction of Bitcoin. Therefore, in his view, a trader looking to invest in the crypto industry was better off purchasing BTC, which continues to dominate altcoins. 

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Why $5,800 Is Not A Realistic Target For Ripple 

Mow’s calculation of an XRP target of $5,800 is not realistic, as this altcoin cannot achieve this price with the immense supply of 58 billion Ripple tokens. This is because if Ripple reaches $5,800 with this circulating supply, its market cap would soar to $336 trillion, which is 3x higher than the entire world’s GDP. Hence, this target price is not realistic and attainable. 

For XRP price to surge to $5,800 and offer the same investment value as Bitcoin per Mow’s thesis, it needs to lower this supply through events such as token burns. However, Ripple currently has a mechanism that adds 1 billion XRP tokens to the circulating supply every month. As the supply rises, it makes the $5,800 target unrealistic.  

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Short-term Prediction for XRP Price 

XRP price is exhibiting several bullish signs on the daily price chart, suggesting that it may resume its uptrend despite the ongoing correction. The Bollinger bands are constricting as Ripple bounces to the upper band, a signal that buying pressure is building up, paving the way for a recovery. 

At the same time, the AO histogram bars are green despite remaining in the negative region. Traders should wait for a crossover of these bars above the zero line to confirm that a bullish momentum is now in play and that the Ripple price can extend its gains. 

If buyers step in now, XRP price faces the next resistance at $2.75, and if it is successful in breaking this resistance level, it will set the stage for an upward breakout to $3.29. Such a rally will pave the way for Ripple to reach all-time high levels. Meanwhile, the recent surge in Ripple network activity supports a bullish XRP price prediction. 

XRP Price Should Be Worth $5,800 Based on This Calculation, But It Isn't, Here's Why
XRP/USDT: 1-day Chart

To sum up, analyst Mow believes that XRP will only offer the same value as Bitcoin if the price can surge to $5,800. However, this price target is not attainable, as it would give Ripple a market cap of $339 trillion. Despite this target being unattainable, the daily price chart indicates that a Ripple price rally is looming in the near term as technical indicators show weakening bearish momentum.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. Can XRP price attain the $5,800 price target?

XRP price cannot only attain the $5,800 target. At this price and a circulating supply of 58 billion tokens, Ripple would have a market cap of more than $300 trillion.

2. What is the most realistic target for Ripple in the short term?

The most realistic target for XRP price in the short term is $3. Ripple can only attain this target if bearish momentum continues to weaken, giving room for bulls to regain control.

3. What does the daily chart show about the Ripple price?

The daily XRP price chart shows that bearish trends are growing weak. A bullish trajectory will be achieved if the AO histogram bars flip bullish.
muthoni
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.
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