Binance’s $4.3 Billion Settlement Spurs Predictions Of Bitcoin ETF Surge

Rupam Roy
November 22, 2023 Updated August 11, 2025
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Breaking: Binance's License Suspension in Florida Overturned By Court

Investors have remained cautious amid Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao’s $50 million plea deal, while Binance’s $4.3 billion settlement has sent ripples through the crypto world. However, despite concerns over CZ’s guilty plea and Binance’s settlement, Matrixport analyst Markus Thielen sees it as a positive update, predicting Binance’s continued dominance for 2-3 years.

In addition, Thielen anticipates a surge in compliant exchanges and sees this settlement as a catalyst for the long-awaited approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the United States.

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Binance Settlement Set To Propel Bitcoin ETF Expectations

Matrixport’s Markus Thielen emphasizes the regulatory impact of Binance’s settlement, stating that the industry’s cleansing by US agencies positions Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset. Meanwhile, the predicted surge in compliant exchanges, coupled with increased scrutiny, sets the stage for the long-anticipated approval of a Bitcoin Spot ETF.

Notably, Thielen asserts that the settlement dramatically increases the probability of a Bitcoin Spot ETF in the coming year in a recent CNBC interview, marking a pivotal shift from unregulated to regulated exchanges in the crypto landscape.

As the industry adjusts to a more regulated environment, institutions are expected to take center stage in 2024, with Bitcoin potentially becoming a focal point in investors’ portfolios. Meanwhile, the future, shaped by regulatory winds and institutional adoption, promises transformative developments in the crypto space.

Also Read: Sam Altman Returns to OpenAI, What About Microsoft Now?

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Legal Turbulence Of Binance

According to recent reports, Binance CEO CZ has agreed to pay a $50 million fine, while Binance faces a $4.3 billion payout. In contrast, Matrixport analyst Markus Thielen views this as a favorable outcome, suggesting that with CZ stepping down and the fine being less than feared of around $10 billion. In addition, he is anticipating that Binance is poised to maintain its top-three crypto exchange status for the foreseeable future.

The settlement, addressing money laundering violations and other charges totaling $898 million, includes agreements with FinCEN, OFAC, and CFTC, with $1.8 billion earmarked for these agencies. While CZ is barred from operating a business for three years, the possibility of a ‘clean’ return to Binance remains open.

Notably, Changpeng ‘CZ’ Zhao, co-founder and former CEO, has appointed Richard Teng, the former Head of Regional Markets, as his successor.

Also Read: Grayscale Meets SEC’s Trading and Markets Division Over spot Bitcoin ETFs, What’s Next?

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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Rupam is a seasoned professional with three years of experience in the financial market, where he has developed a reputation as a meticulous research analyst and insightful journalist. He thrives on exploring the dynamic nuances of the financial landscape. Currently serving as a sub-editor at Coingape, Rupam's expertise extends beyond conventional boundaries. His role involves breaking stories, analyzing AI-related developments, providing real-time updates on the crypto market, and presenting insightful economic news. Rupam's career is characterized by a deep passion for unraveling the complexities of finance and delivering impactful stories that resonate with a diverse audience.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.