MicroStrategy to See $10B Inflows After S&P 500 Inclusion, MSTR Rally to $500 Soon?

MicroStrategy, the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoins, has witnessed a massive run-up this year with its Bitcoin accumulation strategy, and as a proxy bet to BTC. Market analysts predict that as the MSTR stock enters the S&P 500 index, it is likely to see $10 billion inflows. This could set up the stage for the next mega rally for the stock.

MicroStrategy to See Massive Inflows Following S&P 500 Inclusion

Popular crypto analyst Willy Woo highlighted the potential for Microstrategy (MSTR) to attract significant inflows, expecting a potential $5-10 billion surge as it gears up for the S&P 500 inclusion. Currently, MSTR has a valuation of $54.8 billion i.e. 2.7x its Bitcoin treasury of $20 billion.

Soon after the inclusion, Woo expects $10-15 billion from passive index-tracker funds and ETFs. Additionally, he also expects $5-10 billion in speculative inflows. Moreover, 20-30% of the S&P 500’s $50 trillion market cap is from passive index tracking. It will clearly position MSTR to benefit from the flows if listed in the S&P 500.

MicroStrategy’s path to S&P 500 listing begins in 2025, as the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) updates accounting rules, allowing MSTR to meet key requirements. Once FASB compliance takes effect on January 1, the final step will be a decision by the S&P committee.

Woo illustrated that speculative inflows tend to front-run such listings, potentially adding $15-25 billion to MSTR’s value over the next few months. Moreover, the firm recently announced its plans to raise an additional $42 billion to buy more Bitcoins.

Here's what inclusion into the SP500 looks like impacting the chart.

Notice how it suggests speculative flows front-run the listing for months ahead.

It's a combined total of $15-25b of total inflows over this period, not bad for a $60b company. pic.twitter.com/tJoHQZLvO7

— Willy Woo (@woonomic) November 11, 2024

MSTR Rally to New All-Time High?

With a staggering 294% returns year-to-date, the MSTR stock has outperformed top Wall Street stocks like NVIDIA and even Bitcoin by a wide margin this year. As of Friday’s closing, the MSTR stock price is trading at $270 levels.

Analysts have started giving potential immediate targets of $300, along with eyeing a further multi-year breakout past the $314 level. If the bulls manage to give a convincing breakout above $314, it could set the stage for the next rally to $500 over the next year.

MicroStrategy’s 252,200 Bitcoin holdings are now valued at $20.54 billion, marking a 104% gain on its Bitcoin investment strategy. The firm has accumulated Bitcoin through 42 purchases, achieving an average acquisition cost of $39,292 per BTC, per the data from Bitcoin Treasuries.

In a recent interview, MicroStrategy’s founder and executive chairman, Michael Saylor, revealed his ambitious vision to transform the company into the largest Bitcoin bank. This move could significantly drive demand for Bitcoin and influence its price trajectory.