ETF Expert Nate Geraci Says Bitcoin Still Lacks Proof of Digital Gold Status

The narrative about Bitcoin (BTC) being a digital gold has been brought into question again by ETF analyst Nate Geraci. Geraci said the asset has yet to prove it can act as a reliable store of value. His view adds fresh scrutiny to a narrative that helped drive institutional interest during Bitcoin’s strongest years.

Is Bitcoin Truly Digital Gold?

Geraci explained in an interview that Bitcoin still behaves more like a volatile risk asset than a safe-haven investment. He pointed out that the cryptocurrency’s track record is mixed and the investors cannot claim that the digital gold debate is closed.

An argument made by analysts was that BTC’s value would be boosted by strong ETF inflows and that wider use. This is an opinion held by some institutions. JPMorgan pointed out that Bitcoin could replace gold next year as the number one store of value in the world.

Geraci mentioned that price is significant. But he added that a more important concern is the performance of BTC during downturns in the broader financial markets. He said investors want clarity on whether BTC can protect portfolios when stocks fall.

He pointed to two key moments this year. During the “tariff tantrum” in April, Bitcoin rallied while stocks dropped. That reaction helped strengthen the digital gold story.

But months later, Bitcoin sold off harder than the market during a pullback led by technology stocks. Geraci said this pattern weakened confidence in Bitcoin’s safe-haven appeal.

Bitcoin’s Age Limits Its Stability

The analyst further said that the age of Bitcoin is important. The asset is yet to mature or have a long-term identity since it’s 15 years old. In comparison, Gold has established its status as a store of value over many decades. The analogy remains never ending, with Binance founder CZ suggesting that Bitcoin is better than gold in multiple crucial areas.

Geraci opined that Bitcoin will require additional time before making a reliable track record with relation to various market cycles. He compared Bitcoin’s behavior to that of a teenager still discovering discipline.

Bitcoin’s market data highlights the challenge. The asset has lost more than 25% from its record high. Yet Bitcoin also more than doubled since early 2024, showing strong long-term growth. Geraci said the crash began with stock weakness, but excess leverage in the crypto market deepened the decline.

Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Case Could Still Happen: Geraci

He added that ETF flows reveal shifting investor sentiment. Spot BTC ETFs saw billions in outflows recently. But since January, they still captured about $22 billion in inflows overall. He said this pattern reflects a market still deciding how to treat Bitcoin.

Geraci believes BTC may eventually resemble gold more closely. Some industry leaders share this expectation. CZ even predicted that Bitcoin will flip gold in market capitalization.

The ETF analyst expects the digital gold story to mature as volatility eases. But he warned that investors must remain realistic until BTC proves it can act as a stable store of value.