New Bullish Cycle Likely After Bitcoin Reaches This Level, Stats Show

A new Bitcoin bullish cycle will be expected by the time this capitulation phase among retailers and long-term holders comes to an end.
By Anvesh Reddy
Updated July 13, 2022
Bitcoin bullish cycle

After performing steadily around the $30,000 level for quite some time, Bitcoin had this month dropped as low as below $18,000. In the last one week, BTC managed to trade above the $20,000 range although it is yet to touch the $22,000 mark. However, there are some key levels yet to be breached for reaching a Bitcoin bullish cycle.

Advertisement
Advertisement

On-chain Indicator Shows Bitcoin Bullish Cycle Timeline

Taking into consideration the Market Value To Realized Value (MVRV) metric, Bitcoin is said to be undervalued at the current price levels. According to a trader on CryptoQuant, BTC is undervalued as the MVRV ratio dropped to below a level for first time since Covid crash.

“The market has recently experienced a steep crash and retested its prior all-time high. As a result, the MVRV metric has plummeted to below 1 level for the first time after the Covid crash and the massive capitulation while the market’s momentum is not encouraging.”

The MVRV is the ratio of a coin’s Market Cap to its Realized Cap, which determines whether the price is overvalued or not. This on-chain indicator is useful in assessing the current market situation. In fact, the ratio provides key insights into traders’ buying and selling trends.

The CryptoQuant trader said the market is currently at its late bear market stage. “A new bullish cycle will be expected by the time this capitulation phase among retailers and long-term holders comes to an end.”

Advertisement
Advertisement

BTC’S Third Consecutive Week Of Below Key Range

Meanwhile, the Bitcoin price is on the brink of closing the month below the 200-week moving average for the first time ever. The current 200-week moving average level is around the $22,300 mark. As of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $20,009, down 4.62% in the last 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin’s 24 hour low is at $$19,970 while the peak stood at $20,357.

Also, Bitcoin has for the third consecutive time formed weekly candle below its 200-week moving average. While forming such a candle earlier this month was for the first time since 2020, this is continuing. This is the first such time ever to repeat the same trend thrice.

Advertisement
Anvesh Reddy
Anvesh reports major crypto updates around U.S. regulation and market moving trends. Published over 1400 articles so far on crypto and blockchain. A proud dropout of University of Massachusetts, Lowell. Can be reached at [email protected] or x.com/BitcoinReddy or linkedin.com/in/anveshreddybtc/
Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.