The 30-Day Drop in Bitcoin (BTC) Exchange Balance Hints At Upcoming Bull Run
Over the last week, the world’s largest cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) has flipped the $40,000 into resistance. As of press time, BTC is trading at $39,509 with a market cap of $751 billion.
But some on-chain signals suggest that the worst might be behind us and we could be preparing for a major bull run ahead. Citing data from Glassnode, analyst On-Chain College explains that the 30-day change in the Bitcoin Exchange Balance has hit negative levels seen very few times in the last 2 years.
Thus as the amount of illiquid supply for Bitcoin continues to grow there could be a supply crunch leading to a price surge.

As we can see in the above chart, Bitcoin has registered a strong rally whenever the exchange supply dropped to negative 100K. As CoinGape reported, the recent BTC price correction has been due to the strong correction in the U.S. equity market. Soaring inflation and Fed’s hawkish stand have further dampened investor sentiment. As Glassnode notes:
The most hawkish action by the Fed at next week’s meeting may already be priced in, and any less severe outcomes could drive Bitcoin above $42k. Bitcoin selling pressure is easing. Less profit-taking, destruction, and more inactive supply.
Retail Investors Are Buying Bitcoin, Hast Rate at ATH
The good thing about Bitcoin is that retail investors have been consistently buying the dips. Data presented by IntoTheBlock notes:
Retail is buying $BTC. The balance held by addresses with <10 BTC has soared to 2.08m BTC. It’s important to note the growth in the balance of addresses with 0.001 – 0.01 BTC and 0.01 – 0.1 BTC, increasing by at least 2% in 30 days.

On the other hand, the Bitcoin network mining hash rate and difficulty have touched a new all-time high. The Bitcoin mining activity has picked up over the last few months after it collapsed during the China ban last year. As per current data, the Bitcoin network is the most secure than ever before.
- Trump Picks SEC Crypto Counsel Michael Selig to Lead CFTC Amid Crypto Oversight Push
- First Spot XRP ETF Hits Milestone as CME Flags Institutional Interest
- Can Hype Price Hit $50 After Robinhood Listing?
- XRP News: Ripple Unveils ‘Ripple Prime’ After Closing $1.25B Hidden Road Deal
- Traders Price In Two More Fed Rate Cuts This Year After Soft Inflation Data
- HBAR Price Targets 50% Jump as Hedera Unleashes Massive Staking Move
- Chainlink Price Outlook: Analyst Predicts $100 as Reserve Adds 63K LINK
- SUI Price Prediction as TVL and Monthly DEX Volume Hit All-Time Highs- What’s Next?
- PUMP Price Prediction as Whales Accumulate 4.2B Tokens- Is 135% Rally Next?
- Dogecoin Price Crash Looms as Flag, Death Cross, Falling DOGE ETF Inflows Coincide
- Solana Price Prediction as Osprey’s S-1 Filing and Hong Kong’s ETF Launch Fuel Reversal Hopes- Is $250 Next?