Core CPI Inflation Falls To 4.3%; Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP To Rebound?

The US CPI inflation comes in higher than expected at 3.7%, but core CPI inflation hints at the possibility of a Fed pause this month.
By Varinder Singh
How Will July Inflation Data Affect Bitcoin Price?

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announces the consumer price index (CPI) data for August today. The annual inflation rate in the U.S. came in at 3.7% against the expected 3.6%, rising for the second straight month. The headline CPI for July came in cooler-than-expected at 3.2%, but higher than the lowest of 3% for June.

Meanwhile, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy, has eased to 4.3% from 4.7%. This CPI release is key data that will determine whether the U.S. Federal Reserve opts for further monetary policy tightening or a pause. The Fed hiked rates by another 25 bps last month to further curb inflation.

Wall Street forecasts CPI to come in line with market consensus. JPMorgan estimates a chance of CPI coming in at 3.6% influencing markets to pick slight upside momentum amid core inflation falling.

Goldman Sachs, Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley, RBC, and Wells Fargo also expect CPI to come in at 3.6%. Whereas, Visa and CIBC predict CPI at 3.5%. However, Barclays, Nomura, Citi, and HSBC are expecting CPI to rise to 3.7% for August.

Analysts believe the U.S. Federal Reserve is likely done with rate hikes as the jobs market cools and the unemployment rate climbed last month. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 93% probability of announcing a pause at the next FOMC meeting on September 20. Wall Street analysts also believe a possible rate hike at the end of the year. Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) still remains higher above 104.50, risking BTC price to continue under pressure.

US stock futures trading flat on Wednesday as investors look ahead to a key US inflation report that could influence the trajectory of Federal Reserve monetary policy.

Also Read: Bitcoin Turns Bullish Mid-Week, Will Gains To $28k Sustain

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How Bitcoin and Altcoins Will React After CPI?

A higher-than-expected CPI report is bearish for crypto, while a lower-than-expected reading should be taken as bullish. Consider core CPI data for the month is crucial amid an increase in oil prices.

BTC price is showing volatility before the CPI data, with the price currently trading at $25,962. The 24-hour low and high are $25744 and $26451, respectively. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said the U.S. Federal Reserve deciding to cut interest rates will make Bitcoin quickly rally towards $70,000.

Meanwhile, ETH price fell and erased gains in the last 24 hours. The price trades at $1591, with a 24-hour high of $1619. However, trading volume has decreased by 32% in the last 24 hours.

XRP price fell below support and currently trades at $0.48, up 1% in the last 24 hours.

Also Read: Ripple President Makes Big Statement On Ripple Vs US SEC Lawsuit

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Varinder Singh
Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space. At CoinGape Media, Varinder leads the editorial decisions, spearheading the news team to cover latest updates, markets trends and developments within the crypto industry. The company was recognized as Best Crypto Media Company 2024 for high impact and quality reporting. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.
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