Will Crypto Market Catch Up As S&P 500 Turns Positive For The Year?

Bhushan Akolkar
May 13, 2025 Updated June 16, 2025
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Highlights

  • Blockchain analytics firm Santiment noted that crypto market could catch up with the S&P 500’s rally as institutional investors strategize for potential opportunities.
  • Glassnode reports indicate sustained Bitcoin demand from first-time buyers but weak momentum from other traders.
  • Ethereum rally to $2,580 saw profit-taking, with supply falling from 1.3 million to 1 million at this price level.

The crypto market is facing some pullback today, a day after strong upside on news of US-China trade talks and alleviating trade tensions. While Bitcoin (BTC) price is down by 1%, altcoins like ETH, BNB, DOGE, and others have corrected 2-10% today. Interestingly, this drop comes following a 3.26% surge in the S&P 500 on Monday, showing contrasting behaviour.

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Will Crypto Market Catch Up With S&P 500 Gains?

Following President Donald Trump’s announcement of positive developments in the US-China trade talks, the cryptocurrency market witnessed sharp upside on Monday. However, the market today faced some pullback despite a strong upside in US stocks on Monday.

Yesterday, the S&P 500 ended 3.26% up at 5,844.19, reviving hope of greater economic recovery in the market. The Kobeissi Letter stated that the S&P 500 has officially entered a new bull market, closing more than 20% above its April low. The index has gained an impressive 1,000 points over the past month, marking a significant turnaround in market sentiment. The stock market has also erased its 2025 losses in the process.

Although the crypto market is lagging to the gains in the US stock indices, analysts remain hopeful for a rally ahead. Blockchain analytics platform noted that the crypto trading volumes have shot up, highlighting strong investor sentiment in the market, amid the US-China trade deal to drop tariffs by 90 days.

Source: Santiment

Santiment stated that the crypto market could catch up soon to the gains of the S&P 500. The blockchain analytics firm noted:

“Prices have been lagging a bit compared to the massive +3.1% S&P 500 reaction to the news. But don’t be surprised if cryptocurrency plays a bit of catch-up with rising volumes and institutional investors planning their next moves”.

A positive for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market is that IntoTheBlock data shows that the leading crypto and the S&P 500’s correlation is 0.88, indicating a strong positive price correlation. As such, crypto assets could soon catch up with stocks as BTC maintains its correlation with the S&P 500

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Bitcoin and Ethereum Could See Brief Consolidation

Glassnode’s latest analysis highlights sustained demand for Bitcoin (BTC), with First-Time Buyers’ RSI holding steady at 100 throughout the week. However, Momentum Buyers remain subdued with an RSI of approximately 11, while Profit Takers are on the rise. Analysts caution that if fresh inflows dwindle, Bitcoin could face a period of consolidation. As per the CoinGape report, Bitcoin price risks losing $100K as liquidations in the cryptocurrency market hit $714 million.

Source: Glassnode

Similarly, the Glassnode report shows that the Ethereum price surge from $1,800 to $2,500 was facilitated by low supply concentration within this range. The rally, however, stalled near $2,580, where 1.3 million ETH was held. This supply has since declined to 1 million, signaling profit-taking as holders exited near their cost basis.

Source: Glassnode

Last week, Wall Street inflows into the crypto market continued as digital asset funds recorded $882 million in inflows last week, marking the fourth consecutive week of positive investments. Year-to-date inflows have now reached $6.7 billion, with Bitcoin leading the charge, contributing $867 million to the total.

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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Bhushan is a seasoned crypto writer with over eight years of experience spanning more than 10,000 contributions across multiple platforms like CoinGape, CoinSpeaker, Bitcoinist, Crypto News Flash, and others. Being a Fintech enthusiast, he loves reporting across Crypto, Blockchain, DeFi, Global Macros with a keen understanding in financial markets. 

He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills. Bhushan has a bachelors degree in electronics engineering, however, his interest in finance and economics drives him to crypto and blockchain.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.