Bitcoin (BTC) Consolidation Brings Massive New Users, Key Indicators For the Launch of Next Bull Run

By Bhushan Akolkar

On Friday, January 29, the world’s richest man Elon Musk stormed the Satoshi Street by changing his Twitter bio to ‘#bitcoin’. Breaking past is two weeks of downward momentum, BTC surged all the way above $38,000. However, this remained a momentary spike as profit-booking ensued soon after.

Again the BTC price continues to oscillate minorly consolidating around $34,000 levels. While this happens, BTC has seen a massive influx of new users investing in Bitcoin. As analyst Willy Woo points out, the number of new users coming per day is much higher than any other time during the recent bull market.

Interestingly, this comes just at a time when reports are out that Bitcoin supporters are planning for a GameStop-like event in Bitcoin. The r/Bitcoin Reddit community has seen a solid spike in new users joining.

Well, don’t mistake this only for some retail frenzy setting up around Bitcoin (BTC). In fact, several fundamentals point out that Bitcoin is setting up the launchpad for its 2021 bull run.

Key Indicators Pointing at Next Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Run

Analyst Willy Woo points out a number of other factors that suggest that heavy bitcoin selling is not in sight. To explain this, Woo points out the key metric of the SOPR indicator from Glassnode. Woo notes:

“SOPR tracks profit-taken when coins being sold. It hit the 1.0 line which means we completely reset. To go lower we’d need to have investors sell at a loss. This would need a bear phase (that’s is NOT on the cards with the current setup)”

Well, the Elon Musk tweet has skewed it kind-off, but the SOPR indicator is again approaching 1.0 level. On the other hand, the Bitcoin (BTC) on-chain relative-strength-index (RSI) is currently in the lower band of the bull run. This is pretty much closer to the reset stage and suggests that the price is no more overheated.

Courtesy: Willy Woo

Another key indicator that Woo mentions is that the shrinking BTC liquidity and a large number of Bitcoins moving off exchanges. This suggests that coin buyers are strong HODLers who will seldom sell.

Courtesy: Glassnode

In his concluding notes, Woo writes: “With the current flows of capital coming in, the consolidation floor is expected to be $29k on daily closes (short of a black swan event), upper bound would be $56k (but rising quickly each day)”. Author of Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model PlanB also mentions that the S&P 500-implied price of Bitcoin (BTC) is also 60K.

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Bhushan Akolkar
Bhushan is a seasoned crypto writer with over eight years of experience spanning more than 10,000 contributions across multiple platforms like CoinGape, CoinSpeaker, Bitcoinist, Crypto News Flash, and others. Being a Fintech enthusiast, he loves reporting across Crypto, Blockchain, DeFi, Global Macros with a keen understanding in financial markets. 

He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills. Bhushan has a bachelors degree in electronics engineering, however, his interest in finance and economics drives him to crypto and blockchain.
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