Bitcoin Futures Traders Flipping to Bullish Bias, but Weary of ‘Ugly’ Daily Close

Nivesh Rustgi
April 3, 2020
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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Bitcoin volatility

Bitcoin [BTC] price logs a strong bearish candlestick on the 4-hour and daily charts, as the bulls get rejected from $7200.

Just as the markets were starting to flip bullish, a long ‘shooting star’ candlestick on the daily and 4-hour chart sounds alarms for bears in the markets. Moreover, the dojis (small change between opening and closing) and spinning tops appear in a cluster following the Dofi indicate indecision in the market.

btcusd 4-hour chart
BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart on Bitstamp (TradingView)

The price of BTC at 4: 30 hours UTC on 3rd April 2020 is $6780. Trading analyst, Josh Rager, tweeted on the instantaneous drop,

$BTC 4 hr candle is ugly right now Closing below $6800s wouldn’t be pretty – would like to see reclaim and hold previous December range above $6900

Futures Market

The violent move last night caused liquidations of nearly $60 million in shorts in the past 24 hours. The traders now seem to be holding a neutral bias on BitMEX as the funding rate rises from negative to the default rate.

bitmex funding rate
Bitcoin Futures Funding Rate on BitMEX

As reported yesterday on Coingape, the Open Interest on Okex has risen past the BitMEX, which has led the derivatives space for a long time. The reduction in negative basis on Okex is signalling an increase in the long-interest on Okex.

Moreover, on CME the futures price of May and June contracts is trading at a premium over March futures, suggesting a long-term bullish bias(contango).

The resistance to the bulls is currently at $6800-$7000, a break-out above the high yesterday around $7250 should confirm the bullish bias. The bears looking for a breakdown will eye support around $6,400 and $6,000.

Where do you think the price is headed next? Please share your analysis with us. 

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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Nivesh from Engineering Background is a full-time Crypto Analyst at Coingape. He is an atheist who believes in love and cultural diversity. He believes that Cryptocurrency is a necessity to deter corruption. He holds small amounts of cryptocurrencies. Faith and fear are two sides of the same coin. Follow him on X at @nivishoes or mail him at nivesh(at)coingape.com
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.