Ethereum On-Chain: $ETH Set to Break-Out of Key Downtrend, Here’s Why $3,500 is not Far

By Prashant Jha
Updated June 18, 2025
ETH

Ethereum ($ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap reclaimed $3,000 support again earlier today. The top altcoin like the rest of the crypto market experienced a bearish September with negative returns, but on-chain metrics indicate that the upcoming month could flip bullish helping $ETH get back to bullish ways. The altcoin is currently moving in a price downtrend channel right below the key resistance of $3,153. A break above this resistance point would also help Ethereum to break out of the key price downtrend, restating the bull run again.

Ethereum
Source: Santiment

After breaking out of the downtrend, the next key resistance would lie at the $3,500 mark and it could very well retest the $4,000 mark. At the start of September Ethereum was trading above $4,000 before recording a near 25% decline throughout this past month. The trading volume for the altcoin remains healthy.

The exchange supply of Ethereum continues to decline and took a sharp dip over the past couple of weeks leading to a 6-month low. A declining exchange supply is considered bullish as it leads to a supply crunch and shows traders expect the price to go higher up.

Ethereum
Source: Santiment

Ethereum proponents seem to be in a hodling mode and market pundits expect the price to hit new ATHs in the last quarter of 2021.

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Ethereum Network Activity Remains Stable, Price to Surge?

The Ethereum network growth has remained stagnant as there has been a great surge in rival networks rising to popularity such as Solana ($SOL) and now Cardano ($ADA) looks to give it a completion as well with the integration of smart contracts. Another reason could be the rising popularity of layer 2 solutions.

The number of active addresses remain strong over the past 6-months, however, the social volume has been on a decline since June, despite a spike in August at the time of London hardfork.

Ethereum
Source: Santiment

$ETH was trading at $3,024 flipping into green and gearing up for the bullish October. The altcoin is currently 31% below its ATH of $4,362 and many Ethereum proponents expect it to breach the ATH in the final quarter.

Ethereum
Source: Tradingview
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Prashant Jha
An engineering graduate, Prashant focuses on UK and Indian markets. As a crypto-journalist, his interests lie in blockchain technology adoption across emerging economies.
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