Expert Claims Spot XRP ETFs A ‘Matter Of Time’ As CME Futures Go Live

Highlights
- Nate Geraci predicts that the Spot XRP ETFs will be approved sooner or later, claiming it is only a matter of time.
- Polymarket data shows that there is an 83% chance of an XRP ETF being approved this year.
- This comes as the CME Group launches the XRP and Micro XRP futures.
With the CME XRP futures going live today, attention has again turned to the spot XRP ETFs, which are still pending regulatory approval. However, market expert Nate Geraci predicts that the US SEC will eventually approve these funds, stating that it is only a matter of time.
XRP ETFs Only A Matter Of Time
In an X post, the president of the ETF Store asserted that Spot XRP ETFs are only a matter of time, while noting that the CME-traded XRP futures are now live. He added that this development means there are CFTC-regulated contracts on XRP.
A regulated futures market is significant and increases the likelihood of an XRP ETF approval due to the Grayscale case. In Grayscale’s case against the SEC, the court ruled that the futures and spot markets are similar. As such, the court argued that the SEC cannot reject a spot ETF application on the ground of manipulation when there is already a futures market for the same coin.
As CoinGape reported, the CME futures launched today, with the CME Group also confirming that the XRP and Micro XRP futures are now live. Investors can now trade them and manage exposure to one of the leading cryptocurrencies.
Polymarket traders are also betting on the SEC approving an XRP ETF this year. Data from the prediction platform shows an 83% chance this fund will launch this year.
Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart predict that there is an 85% chance of approval for Spot XRP ETFs this year. Asset managers Grayscale, Canary Capital, Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton have all filed with the SEC to offer this fund.
Ripple CEO Comments On CME Futures Going Live
In an X post, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse commented on the CME XRP futures going live. He stated that the launch of regulated futures on CME marks a key institutional milestone for the altcoin.
Garlinghouse also said he is excited to report that Ripple’s prime broker, Hidden Road, cleared the first block trade on CME at the opening. While the CME futures are integral for the Spot XRP ETFs approval, it is worth mentioning that the Ripple SEC lawsuit is still ongoing, with Judge Analisa Torres denying both parties’ motion for an indicative ruling.
Based on opinions from legal experts like Fred Rispoli, the case could still drag on for months, although it is unclear if this would hinder approval. However, Seyffart once mentioned that the SEC might not approve the XRP ETFs until the long-running legal battle ends.
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