Fed Chair Jerome Powell Speech: Bitcoin Climbs On Rate Cut and QE Optimism
Highlights
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell skips remarks on current economic conditions or monetary policy.
- ISM Manufacturing PMI data shows shrinking manufacturing activity.
- CME FedWatch Tool shows odds of a 25 bps rate cut wavering near 87%.
- Bitcoin price soars as Powell refuses comments on monetary policy due to blackout period.
Bitcoin saw a slight relief rebound as Fed Chair Jerome Powell did not address the economy or monetary policy in prepared remarks at Stanford University. However, Fed rate cut odds waver amid economic data releases ahead of next week’s FOMC interest rate decision. Crypto traders continue to price in a third rate cut this year, which represents a huge positive for the flagship crypto and broader crypto market.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell Skips Comments on Economy, Monetary Policy
In his opening remarks at the Stanford University event honoring late economist and statesman George Shultz, Jerome Powell refused to comment on current economic conditions or monetary policy.
“Just to be clear, I will not address current economic conditions or monetary policy,” he said. This was expected as the Fed Chair hasn’t made any remarks on monetary policy since stating in his October press conference that a December rate cut is uncertain.
As CoinGape reported, the blackout period preceding the FOMC meeting next week prevented Jerome Powell from making any comments on monetary policy in his speech. Also, the Jerome Powell speech coincided with the end of quantitative tightening (QT). Any comment could have affected liquidity flows into the financial system with the Fed’s planned quantitative easing (QE).
Fed Rate Cut Certain amid Slowing Orders and Higher Prices?
Moreover, the ISM Manufacturing PMI data on Monday showed that the manufacturing sector contracted for the ninth consecutive month. November’s ISM Manufacturing PMI in the US comes in at 48.2, falling to the lowest in four months and below forecasts of 48.6.
The data reveals slumping orders and higher prices due to the impact of tariffs. As a result, the markets are largely expecting a Fed rate cut on December 10. The CME FedWatch Tool shows odds of a 25 bps rate cut wavering near 87%.
“I see no reason why the uptrend doesn’t continue, at least, not as quickly, but maybe more of a grind up to the end of the year,” Joe Saluzzi, head of Equity Market Structure Research, told Reuters.
Notably, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett becoming a leading contender to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell has boosted hopes of further monetary policy easing in the months ahead. Hassett has on different occasions signaled support for larger rate cuts, in line with President Trump’s goal of bringing interest rates much lower.
Bitcoin Climbs Above $87K
Bitcoin price jumped more than 2% in the past 24 hours as Fed Chair Jerome Powell skipped comments on monetary policy, currently trading at $86,970. The 24-hour low and high are $83,862 and $87,325, respectively. Furthermore, trading volume has remained elevated amid buy-the-dip sentiment among traders over the last 24 hours.
However, sentiment in the derivatives market remained mixed, as per CoinGlass data. The total BTC futures open interest jumped 0.25% to $57.70 billion in the last 24 hours. BTC futures open interest on CME climbed 0.63% but fell 0.72% on Binance and 3.57% on Bybit.
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