3 Key Metrics That Hint Bitcoin Price Will Hit $100K Soon

Akash Girimath
December 24, 2024
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3 Key Metrics That Hint Bitcoin Price Will Hit $100K Soon

Highlights

  • Three key on-chain metrics suggest Bitcoin is preparing for a strong bounce.
  • The Network Realized Profit/Loss indicator suggests investors panic sold, reducing the likelihood of a further drop.
  • Whales have accumulated 30,000 BTC since the ATH, indicating investor bullishness.

After crashing nearly 15% Bitcoin has spent nearly a week below $100K and BTC currently trades at $94,124. Despite the brutal crash and sideways movement when will Bitcoin price hit $100,000? This article explores three key on-chain metrics that suggest that BTC is preparing for a strong bounce.

In the previous article, CoinGape explore three reasons why Bitcoin price crash will end soon. This article explores why BTC should bounce soon and revisit the historic $100K level.

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3 Key Metrics That Could Propel Bitcoin Price to $100K

According to Santiment, on-chain data provider, the Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) indicator saw a spike to roughly 106K & 100K on December 19 and 20, respectively. This profit-taking suggests that investors panic sold. Hence, the chances of a further drop due to spike in selling pressure.

BTC NPL
BTC NPL

Further supporting this thesis is the 30-day MVRV (market value to realized value) ratio has dipped below zero and sits at -4.77%. Between 5% to 10% is where BTC formed a bottom in the past two months. The fact that BTC’s 30-day MVRV is sitting in the opportunity zone suggests that a reversal is likely in the next few days.

BTC price vs. 30-day MVRV 
BTC price vs. 30-day MVRV

Lastly the supply distribution metrics show that whales accumulated 30,000 BTC since the ATH. These wallets that hold 100 to 1,000 BTC have shown resilience despite the short-term correction and hints that investors are bullish on the last few days of 2025.

BTC Whale Supply Distribution
BTC Whale Supply Distribution

All in all, the outlook for Bitcoin price looks bullish and a potential drop here is highly unlikely. Even if there is a drop, it should stabilize around $90K. As mentioned in yesterday’s Bitcoin article, the drop is likely going to reverse soon and kickstart a consolidation or a reversal.

Furthermore, the quarter four is generally bullish according to historical price action, which adds credence to what technicals and on-chain metrics are showing. Therefore, the ongoing downtrend is unlikely to continue and a potential bounce could be coming up soon.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What are the three key on-chain metrics that suggest a strong bounce for Bitcoin?

The three metrics are: Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) indicator, 30-day MVRV ratio, and supply distribution metrics showing whale accumulation.

2. What does the 30-day MVRV ratio indicate about Bitcoin's price?

The 30-day MVRV ratio has dipped below zero, indicating that a reversal is likely in the next few days, as it has formed a bottom in the past two months between 5% to 10%.

3. How do whale accumulation patterns impact Bitcoin's price outlook?

Whales accumulating 30,000 BTC since the ATH indicates investor bullishness and resilience despite the short-term correction, suggesting a potential bounce.
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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.