BTC Price Prediction Ahead of US Jobs Report, CPI Data and U.S. Government Shutdown

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BTC Price Prediction Ahead of US Jobs Report, CPI Data and U.S. Government Shutdown

Highlights

  • Bitcoin price under pressure ahead of U.S. jobs report release.
  • CPI figures and shutdown speculations affect BTC market mood.
  • BTC has major support at $65,000 and major resistance at $72,000.

Bitcoin price remained near $66,000 on Wednesday, after a slight dip, as the market awaits key economic reports. These are the U.S. jobs data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, and prospects on the U.S. government shutdown. 

Meanwhile, Ethereum price is trading below $2,000, which indicates a generally bearish mood. The crypto market has been on a downward trend of 2.53%, and market capitalization is at 2.29 trillion.

Key Events to Watch: US Jobs, CPI Data, and the Looming Government Shutdown

The U.S. economic calendar is expected to release the January employment report, which will cover important metrics like Nonfarm Payrolls, the Unemployment Rate, and wage inflation. This information will give a better idea of what the job market will look like in 2026, illuminating trends in January and late 2025.

The report has been postponed as a short-term government shutdown was released. The data will be used to establish whether the labor market has improved. In December, 50,000 jobs were added, which was in line with the annual average.

The rate of unemployment was reduced to 4.4%, which is a low level when compared to the past. In the case of January, the economists will see the increase in jobs grow to 55,000, and the unemployment rate will remain the same at 4.4%.

U.S. hiring has been influenced by a number of factors in recent months, such as tariffs, the immigration crackdown, and the influence of artificial intelligence. These have produced confusion in the labor market.

In China, the consumer inflation figure of January recorded an increase of 0.2, lower than the forecasted 0.4. The December inflation was more at 0.8%. In the meantime, the producer price index in China decreased by 1.4%, which is a slightly subdued index compared to the anticipated 1.5%.

BTC Price Prediction Ahead of US Jobs Report, CPI Data and U.S. Government Shutdown
Source: Polymarket data

There is also the increasing concern over U.S. government shutdown. The probability of a partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, which is likely to start at midnight on February 13, is high in prediction markets.

BTC Price Declines Amid Consolidation, Eyes Key Support at $65,000

The BTC price decreased to $66,971.89 on February 11, 2026, dropping by 2%. The price is exhibiting high consolidation following the resistance faced around the price of $70,000 level.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 37.01, which is lower than the neutral 50 level, which means that there is a possibility that the market is oversold. In the meantime, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is deep in negative indicating a bearish market structure.

In terms of the long-term Bitcoin forecast, the key resistance level is currently at $72,000, which the BTC price needs to break above for a potential bullish move. On the negative side, any further drops will challenge the support of $65,000, and additional loss to $60,000 in case the selling pressure continues.

BTC Price Prediction Ahead of US Jobs Report, CPI Data and U.S. Government Shutdown
Source: BTC/USDT 4-hour chart: Tradingview

To sum up, the Bitcoin price is facing pressure, trading at around $66,000 before the major economic figures, such as the U.S. jobs report and CPI rates, are announced. The market is uncertain because of the possible government shutdown and the wider bearish mood. BTC’s next support levels are about $65,000, with crucial resistance at $72,000.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What is the U.S. CPI data, and why is it important for Bitcoin?

CPI (Consumer Price Index) measures inflation. A higher CPI could signal inflation, potentially leading to increased demand for Bitcoin as a hedge.

2. What impact does a U.S. government shutdown have on Bitcoin?

A government shutdown could increase market uncertainty, leading to higher volatility and potential price declines in cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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$68,435.4634 -0.21%

24 Hours volume

$33.64B

Market Cap

$1.37T

Max Supply

21M

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About Author
CoinGape comprises an experienced team of native content writers and editors working round the clock to cover news globally and present news as a fact rather than an opinion. CoinGape writers and reporters contributed to this article.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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