New Bitcoin Model Predicts Bull Run is Half Complete, What’s Next?

The cryptocurrency market is thrilled that Donald Trump has become the 47th US President. However, there was a subtle disappointment with Trump’s failure to mention crypto in his inauguration speech, resulting in a minor Bitcoin price correction. The new Bitcoin model presented the status of BTC on the bull run cycle. Let’s see what this means.

New Bitcoin Model Breakdown & Its Analysis On Bull Run

The new Bitcoin model is based on this cryptocurrency’s four-year cycle, i.e., the Halving event, which reduces the mining reward, creating a supply shock. This cycle includes four stages, which explain the process of the Bitcoin bull run. The first phase is the accumulation phase, which explains the market bottoming, followed by the breakout and early bull market. This marked the completion of the first half phase. After this, the mid-cycle consolidation phase enters before fueling the bull market, where crypto will witness a parabolic price increase to the top.

This Bitcoin model analyzes the historical trends of 2012, 2016, and 2020 and compares them to the current market. It highlights the similarities and presents insights into possible trends and price patterns. Additionally, it uses the geometric mean and standard deviation to predict Bitcoin price action. According to its 2025 findings, the BTC token has completed half of the bull run stages, showing steady progress on the chart per the previous bull cycle.

No one can predict Bitcoin’s price, despite claims otherwise. We can only analyze current trends and study models showing possible future movements. These tools show possibilities, not guarantees – which is why following a plan is crucial, says Ted Boydston.

Bitcoin Half Bull Run Half Complete: What Does It Mean?

Today, Bitcoin trades at $102.5k after a minor correction from yesterday’s ATH peak of $109.1k. The correction happened with Donald Trump’s Inaugration event and may settle with time. Despite the correction, the Bitcoin bull run chart shows the token near the upper-middle section of the standard deviation bands. According to the BTC model, the bull run is half complete and is now in its maturing phase. The next step includes achieving the euphoric peak, which is also attributed to the cycle tops.

Overall, this Bitcoin model predicts that the price will likely continue progressing, testing higher standard deviation bands. With the analysis, the BTC bull run peak might hit by the 2025 end, where the price could hit $300k or higher based on the historical trends, which suggest the peak aligns with the upper red band.

However, crypto and the entire might witness higher volatility as it approaches the speculative top. As a result, investors should monitor macroeconomic events and key support and resistance to navigate this cycle successfully.

What’s Next?

This Bitcoin model is based on the halving cycle and analyzes historical trends with geometric means and standard deviations, which currently present BTC in the maturation phase. The model further predicts that the Bitcoin bull run peak will form by the end of 2025. If this happened, Bitcoin could gain double the current high-value value, as the target is $300k. However, the journey is not straight, as there’s fear of a Bitcoin price crash. A massive consolidation could happen due to the phases of this cycle.

Disclaimer: BTC and crypto predictions do not always come true due to the unpredictability of the market. This model prediction is based on historical trends, allowing a calculative analysis of the possible bull run. The investor must do their own research.

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Pooja Khardia

Pooja Khardia is a seasoned crypto content writer with 6+ years of experience in writing, including in blockchain, cryptocurrency, DeFi, and digital finance reporting. In her adventure journey, she is currently working with CoinGape Media and leading their Trending Section. Here, she uses her expertise to deliver analytics, market insights, price predictions, and information on what’s trending in the crypto space, aiming to keep the crypto and web3 community updated with market trends and important insights. Known for a user-centric and straightforward writing style, Pooja is passionate about making crypto easy and accessible. Her writing blends market research with storytelling, helping readers stay ahead in a fast-paced industry. When not behind the keyboard, Pooja embraces her creative side through drawing and crafting. Connect with Pooja on LinkedIn or X.