US CPI Data Comes In At 2.4%; What Does It Mean for the Crypto Market?

The US CPI data show a 2.4% YoY increase, below experts' prediction, opening the possibility of a crypto market rally.
By Pooja Khardia
Updated: 11 Jun, 2025 | 01:33:52 PM GMT
US CPI Data Comes In At 2.4%; What Does It Mean for the Crypto Market?

Highlights

  • The US CPI for May was released today, coming at 2.4% after a 0.1% surge from April data.
  • Analysts forecasted a 2.5% YoY CPI increase and a crypto market crash if the data exceeded expectations.
  • As the CPI data came below 2.5%, a Bitcoin price rally to $110k could form in an optimistic case.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has released the CPI data today, June 11, at 8:30 AM ET. As the netizens and investors braced for the May Consumer Price Index release, the market was on the edge, fueling uncertainty and volatility. Although investors’ sentiments were in greed amid anticipation of bullish results, the performance of digital assets is divided between bulls and bears. Now, the data came at 2.4% below the expectation, and investors are awaiting a crypto market rally.

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US CPI Data Comes to 2.4%, Crypto Market Fails to React

Experts’ analysis forecasted the US CPI to rise 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY, up 2.3% from the April data. In addition to this, Core inflation was expected to rise 0.3% MoM and 2.9% YoY under the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariff implementations.

However, the data came even lower than the expectation at 2.4% YoY, up 0.1% from the April data. Moreover, the Core inflation came at 2.8% YoY, up 0.1% MoM, maintaining a moderating effect. Interestingly, this could signal the Fed to cut interest rates in the longer run, if not immediately.

US CPI Data Released

For now, the Fed is expected to keep the interest rate steady as it seeks more reports, and even the US CPI report shows cooling inflation.

“May should bring the leading edge of price increases, with the maximum impact coming in June and July,” said Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at Santander.

The crypto market has not shown any immediate effect with this result, but better results are anticipated amid the hopes of potential rate cuts and upcoming macroeconomic events.

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Crypto Market Rally Odds Form, Claims Experts

The US CPI Data expectation was at 2.5%, opening three possibilities for the digital asset’s reaction. Crypto analysts like Ash Crypto predicted that the crypto market could crash if the data came higher than expectations. Data above the target would become the highest MoM increase in 2025, hence high volatility.

US CPI Data Release Today

The second case, where the data comes exactly as expected, could also bring a correction. However, this would not last long, as a reversal would follow. The last possibility is the data below expectation, which almost every investor desires, and even came true.

Experts believe lower data would pump the crypto and stock markets. Considering this possibility, the Bitcoin price flourished today, currently trading at $109.6k, closer to its ATH mark. With the greed building among investors amid US CPI data, the crypto market could rally next.

However, uncertainty still persists amid various macroeconomic trends, so investors should trade with caution.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What is the significance of US CPI data?

The CPI data indicates inflation trends, and its outcome could impact the Fed’s rate cut decision.

2. What the analysts expected for the May 2025 CPI data?

The expected CPI data for May 2025 was a 2.5% YoY increase.

3. Will the crypto market rally?

Experts claimed that a data below 2.5% would bring crypto market rally, but the uncertainty looms as investors' await Fed's data.
Pooja Khardia
Pooja Khardia is a seasoned crypto content writer with 6+ years of experience in writing, including in blockchain, cryptocurrency, DeFi, and digital finance reporting. In her adventure journey, she is currently working with CoinGape Media and leading their Trending Section. Here, she uses her expertise to deliver analytics, market insights, price predictions, and information on what’s trending in the crypto space, aiming to keep the crypto and web3 community updated with market trends and important insights. Known for a user-centric and straightforward writing style, Pooja is passionate about making crypto easy and accessible. Her writing blends market research with storytelling, helping readers stay ahead in a fast-paced industry. When not behind the keyboard, Pooja embraces her creative side through drawing and crafting. Connect with Pooja on LinkedIn or X.
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