Bitcoin Price Prediction as Morgan Stanley Launches its Spot BTC ETF Today

crispus
crispus

crispus

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Crispus is a seasoned Financial Analyst at CoinGape with over 12 years of experience. He focuses on Bitcoin and other altcoins, covering the intersection of news and analysis. His insights have been featured on renowned platforms such as BanklessTimes, CoinJournal, HypeIndex, SeekingAlpha, Forbes, InvestingCube, Investing.com, and MoneyTransfers.com.
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Bitcoin Price Prediction as Morgan Stanley Launches its Spot BTC ETF

Highlights

  • Bitcoin price remained under pressure despite the new Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF launch.
  • The new ETF has an expense ratio of just 0.14%, making it the cheapest.
  • The weekly chart shows that Bitcoin price will likely continue falling in the near term.

Bitcoin price erased some of the gains made earlier during the day when it soared after the US-Iran ceasefire. BTC dropped to $70,800, down from the intraday high of $72,680. This retreat happened despite the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF launch.

Morgan Stanley Launches Spot Bitcoin ETF Today 

The spot Bitcoin ETF industry is getting more competitive today as Morgan Stanley launches MSBT. This is a big deal because the company is the biggest wealth manager in the world with over $9 trillion in assets.

The company also has thousands of wealth advisors, who will likely start recommending Bitcoin to their clients. As a result, Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, believes that the fund will attract over $5 billion in assets under management in its first year.

A key advantage of the fund is that it will become the cheapest Bitcoin ETF in the industry with an expense ratio of 0.14%, much lower than IBIT’s 0.25%. As such, an investor with a $100,000 investment in it will pay an annual fee of just $140, while a similar amount on IBIT will cost $250. 

That $110 difference can add up in a long term. This explains why many investors are dumping the popular SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF and moving to the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF  (VOO). SPY, which charges 0.09%, has shed over $33 billion this year, while VOO has gained over $30 billion. VOO costs 0.03% a year.

Bitcoin price dropped despite the MSBT launch because the industry is already saturated, with 11 funds already. Some of these funds are by companies like Invesco, Fidelity, and Franklin Templeton. At the same time, data shows that demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs has waned in the past few months.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Technical Analysis 

A closer look at charts shows that Bitcoin price may be at risk of a steep crash this year despite the Morgan Stanley ETF launch today. 

The weekly chart shows that the BTC value has crashed this year and is now loitering near the lowest level since 2024. It has slumped below the important resistance level at $74,600, its lowest level in April last year when Donald Trump unveiled his reciprocal tariffs.

The coin is also trading at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level at $70,475. Also, it dropped below the 200-week moving average, a sign that bears have prevailed.

 Bitcoin Price
Bitcoin price

Bitcoin has also formed a bearish flag pattern. Therefore, the path of the least resistance is bearish, with the initial target being at $60,000, its lowest level this year.

The bearish Bitcoin price forecast will become invalid if it moves above the 200-week Weighted Moving Average at $76,450.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. How will the new Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF affect the Bitcoin price?

Chances are that the new Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF will not have an impact on the BTC price as the industry is already saturated.

2. What is the most likely BTC price forecast?

The most likely Bitcoin price forecast is bearish, with the initial target being at the year-to-date low of $60,000.

3. Is Bitcoin a good buy today?

For long-term investors, Bitcoin is a good investment at any price. However, for short-term traders, it remains in a bear market.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
Crispus is a seasoned Financial Analyst at CoinGape with over 12 years of experience. He focuses on Bitcoin and other altcoins, covering the intersection of news and analysis. His insights have been featured on renowned platforms such as BanklessTimes, CoinJournal, HypeIndex, SeekingAlpha, Forbes, InvestingCube, Investing.com, and MoneyTransfers.com.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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