MSTR Stock Outlook as Wall Street Raises Target to $400 and Strategy Director Sells Shares

Muthoni Mary
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.
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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
MSTR Stock Outlook as TD Cowen Raises Target to $400 and Strategy Director Sells Shares

Highlights

  • MSTR stock price is down by 12% in the last five trading days as risk assets edged lower due to renewed geopolitical tensions.
  • Investment bank TD Cowen now says the MSTR stock price could reach $400 because of Strategy's aggressive Bitcoin purchases.
  • MSTR needs to hold support at $148 for the stock to resume an upward trend.

Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) opened trading at $166 on May 19 after dropping by 12% in the last five trading days. This drop comes after Strategy director Jarrod Patten sold $286,280 worth of MSTR shares on May 14. But this drop has not made Wall Street bearish because TD Cowen now says the MSTR stock price might reach $400, and it remains with a “buy” rating.

Wall Street Raises MSTR Stock Target as Director Sells Shares

TD Cowen says that the MSTR stock price will reach $400, adding $5 to the $395 target it had given on May 7. The investment bank says that the high rate at which Strategy is buying Bitcoin, with an estimated 100,000 BTC purchase in Q2 2026, is why the stock will likely reach $400.

CoinGape reported that Strategy bought another $2 billion on May 18, which brought all its holdings to 843,798 BTC. Satoshi is the only entity that has more Bitcoin than Strategy, with 1 million coins.

TD Cowen also said Strategy’s plan to repurchase nearly $1.5 billion of convertible notes will also take the MSTR stock to $400. But Strategy might have to sell Bitcoin to fund this $1.5 billion repurchase.

MSTR stock traded at $166 at the time of writing, and has to go up by 140% for it to meet this target of $400 in the next 12 months. But Strategy Director Jarrod Patten is not waiting for this potential gain after he sold 1,500 shares.

Patten sold the 1,500 shares for $286,280 on May 14. But he had also acquired 1,500 MSTR shares by exercising stock options for $27,981. He holds 28,000 MSTR shares worth $4.64 million at press time.

MSTR Outlook as Bears Test Support

A CoinGape MSTR price analysis in April had detected a double bottom with a target of $200 that has already played out after the stock reached $197 on May 11. But after Strategy reached $197, it started pulling back, and bears want to test if the support at $148 is going to hold.

The bullish pattern reached its $197 target, and that means two things may happen: support at $148 will hold and the price will bounce back up, or the support will fail to hold and cause a drop to $117.

Traders started taking profits after MSTR stock reached $197, and this has caused the 12% drop in the last five trading days. The CMF reading of -0.02 confirms this because, after a steady rise since November 2025, the CMF is now dropping and showing capital flight.

MSTR Stock Outlook as TD Cowen Raises Target to $400 and Strategy Director Sells Shares
MSTR Price Chart

But the AO bars that are on the negative side and shrinking show that bears are weakening, and this may prevent the MSTR stock price from dropping to $117. Another bounce from the $148 support to $200 again will be confirmed if these bars read positive.

Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author's personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. Can MSTR stock price reach $400?

MSTR stock price could reach $400 according to investment bank TD Cowen that attributes the rise to the company's Bitcoin purchases.

2. What will influence MSTR stock rally?

MSTR stock gains will likely stem from Bitcoin ourchases and Strategy's plan to rebalance its balance sheet with a $1.5 billion repurchase of its convertible note.

3. Will Strategy sell Bitcoin?

Strategy could sell Bitcoin after the company said it might use proceeds from the sale to fund the $1.5 billion convertible note repurchase.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.