Bitcoin’s Equilibrium Price Is $9,000; Analyst Explains How!

By Dalmas Ngetich
Published April 6, 2020 Updated April 6, 2020
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Bitcoin’s Equilibrium Price Is $9,000; Analyst Explains How!

By Dalmas Ngetich
Published April 6, 2020 Updated April 6, 2020

A renowned Bitcoin analyst is of the view that the coin’s equilibrium price is $9,000 and the current trend following the asset’s consolidation between $5,700 and $7,100 is bullish. This is according to data drawn from leading and approved exchanges.

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In his view, and concluding from market data, he observes that BTC is currently undervalued by around $2,000 and the market specified neutral price is $9,000.

This is roughly three weeks after a market-wide capitulation that saw over $2 billion liquidations as price almost halved to $3,800.

He posted his opinion on Twitter, saying:

“Meanwhile, over $2 billion liquidated (MEX) and heavily bought in to, with a market order delta suggesting price equilibrium to sit at least around 9K Considering spot exchange and on chain volumes too (see next tweet), this is a massive supply shift.”

Open Value Fluctuates as Price Trends Higher

At the moment, BTC prices are galloping higher, and notably, the number of open interest is also on the rise. As observed, Open Value—a product of open interest and price is range bound. This, the analyst says, is bullish and an accumulation after a dismal March 2020.

According to data streams from Skew, the number of open interest at BitMex stands at $560 million, an improvement over the last few days when traders rushed to the exits as prices tumbled from mid-February.

Bitcoin BTC Open Interest Skew
Bitcoin BTC Open Interest Skew

A spike in open interest, which is the measure of open contracts at leading derivatives platforms, is bullish and points to participation especially when uncertainty abounds.

Nonetheless, there is excitement across the board that Bitcoin is finally bottoming up.

Bitcoin is Bearish because of Mar 12 Candlestick

However, despite his views, BTC is under the grip of bears and prices are in oscillating inside the Mar 12 bear candlestick.

Technically, a trend is considered bullish or bearish only when there is a sharp breakout from within a range with high trading volumes.

Bitcoin BTC Daily Chart for April 6: Trading View
Bitcoin BTC Daily Chart for April 6: Trading View

While it’s true that BTC is above a minor resistance line, it is still held inside the Mar 12 trade range, and the break above volumes were below average.

Unless there is a sharp uptick in trading volumes and prices break out above the Mar 12 trade range, bears are in control despite the current bullish sentiment.

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Disclaimer
The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
About Author
Dalmas Ngetich
335 Articles
Dalmas is a very active cryptocurrency content creator and highly regarded technical analyst. He’s passionate about blockchain technology and the futuristic potential of cryptocurrencies and enjoys the opportunity to help educate bitcoin enthusiasts through his writing insights and coin price chart analysis. Follow him at @dalmas_ngetich

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