Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD Reversal To $10,400 Impends Following Unsustainable Sharp Ascending Channel

John Isige
Updated
John is a seasoned crypto expert, renowned for his in-depth analysis and accurate price predictions in the digital asset market. As the Price Prediction Editor for Market Content at CoinGape Media, he is dedicated to delivering valuable insights on price trends and market forecasts. With his extensive experience in the crypto sphere, John has honed his skills in understanding on-chain data analytics, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Centralized Finance (CeFi), and the dynamic metaverse landscape. Through his steadfast reporting, John keeps his audience informed and equipped to navigate the ever-changing crypto market.
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  • Bitcoin price drops below the ascending channel after gains became unsustainable above $11,000.
  • BTC/USD is staring into a possible freefall to $10,400 if the bearish biased technical picture remains unchecked.

Bitcoin price is holding marginally under $11,000 following a rejection from the new year high around $11,434 (on Coinbase). The recovery from last week was sharp and fulfilling as observed on the 4-hour chart. Already, sustaining gains above $11,000 has become difficult. For this reason, BTC is teetering at $10,888 amid an existing strongly bearish trend. The volatility across the market is expanding, in other words, sellers could gain traction in the coming sessions.

Related reading: Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD Journey To $20,000 Begins As Cup And Handle Pattern Forms

At the time of writing, Bitcoin has already corrected under the sharp ascending channel support. Technically, Bitcoin is hanging at the edge of a cliff. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently struggling to hold above 70 (overbought line). Retreat below this zone is likely to encourage more sellers to join the market.

The same bearish trend is emphasized by the MACD after it stalled at 387. The bullish divergence has narrowed and almost giving way for a bearish one. If this technical picture remains unchecked, BTC/USD plummeting to $10,400 would be unstoppable.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

BTC/USD price chart by Tradingview

On the bright side, it is not all lost for the bulls as they can easily redeem themselves owing to the fact that the 50 SMA is still expanding the gap above the 100 SMA in the 4-hour range. This shows that buying pressure is still present in smaller margins across the market; even enough to hold the price above the initial support at $10,800.

If push comes to shove and Bitcoin spirals, the target on the downside is $10,400 but first support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level must be broken. Other lower buyer congestion areas encompass the 50% Fibo at $10,200, $9,950, the 50 SMA, 100 SMA and $9,600.

Read moreThree Reasons Why Bitcoin [BTC] Bulls are Not Yet Tired

Bitcoin Intraday Levels

Spot rate: $10,888

Relative change: -40

Percentage change: -0.37%

Trend: Strongly bearish

Volatility: Expanding

Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more… to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
John is a seasoned crypto expert, renowned for his in-depth analysis and accurate price predictions in the digital asset market. As the Price Prediction Editor for Market Content at CoinGape Media, he is dedicated to delivering valuable insights on price trends and market forecasts. With his extensive experience in the crypto sphere, John has honed his skills in understanding on-chain data analytics, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Centralized Finance (CeFi), and the dynamic metaverse landscape. Through his steadfast reporting, John keeps his audience informed and equipped to navigate the ever-changing crypto market.