Published June 21, 2022
Last week while the BTC/USDT pair dropped below $20000, the Fear and Greed Index hit the 6% mark, indicating extreme fear among market participants. However, although the coin price has corrected 74.3% since the November All-Time High of $68789, the historical data reveals that such correction is common for Bitcoin price.
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Source-Tradingview
The Bitcoin(BTC) price has been constantly downfall for the past eight months. This extended correction has depreciated the coin price by 74.3% as it recently plunged to a low of $17708.
However, the historical records indicate that such long corrections are normal for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Excluding the April-May 2021 correction triggered by the coronavirus pandemic, the technical chart shows a 70-80% correction is unexceptional for Bitcoin.
In 2014, the BTC price went down from a high of $1170 to $163, registering an 86% correction. In 2018, the BTC/USDT slumped from around $19641 to $3084, accounting for an 84% fall. From June 2019-March 2020, the coin price plunged from $13876 to 3900, indicating a 71.8% drop.
Furthermore, last week the coin buyers managed a weekly closing above the combined support of $20000 and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Moreover, the long-tail rejection attached to the weekly candle validates the presence of high demand pressure.
The BTC price currently trades at $21458, with an intraday gain of 4.17%. A potential recovery should surge 35% to challenge a crucial supply zone formed by the $33000 psychological mark 200-day EMA and 0.618 FIB level.
A weekly-candle closing above this overhead resistance should encourage further rally.
The daily-RSI slope dives into the oversold region amid the June’sJune’s second-week sell-off. The 27% RSI value indicates an overextended downtrend and should encourage interested buyers to enter at a discounted price.
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However, the BTC price trading below the crucial EMAs(20, 50, 100, and 200) reflects an overall downtrend. Moreover, the potential rally may witness significant resistance from each EMA slope.
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