Ripple Lawsuit-Linked Judge Torres Hands Kalshi a Big Loss in NY Prediction Markets Case
Highlights
- Judge Torres rejects Kalshi's preliminary injunction against New York over gambling laws.
- Ripple lawsuit judge claims New York state gambling laws apply to Kalshi’s sports-related event contracts.
- The decision could impact ongoing cases and regulatory actions against predictions markets.
Federal Judge Analisa Torres, known for SEC v Ripple lawsuit, has ruled against prediction market platform Kalshi in a gambling case in New York. This marks a big loss for the prediction market firm, allowing New York state to continue enforcing its gambling laws against the company’s sports-event contracts.
Ripple Lawsuit Judge Torres Denies Kalshi’s Preliminary Injunction Against NY
SDNY Judge Analisa Torres, who presided over the high-profile SEC v. Ripple lawsuit involving XRP, has rejected Kalshi’s request for a preliminary injunction.
Judge Torres found that New York state gambling laws apply to Kalshi’s sports-related event contracts and are not preempted by the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA). The decision clears the way for the lawsuit to proceed.
In KalshiEX LLC v. Williams, Kalshi argued that its sports-related event contracts qualify as CFTC-regulated swaps traded on a designated contract market (DCM). It requested the court to approve a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction to block New York regulators from enforcing gambling laws against the prediction market.
According to sports betting and gaming law attorney Daniel Wallach, this is a major loss for Kalshi as it could potentially impact other ongoing cases. Prediction markets could be forced to obtain state licenses or restrict operations in New York.
BREAKING: Kalshi denied preliminary injunction in crucial Southern District of New York case by Judge Analisa Torres. Major, major loss for Kalshi in the financial capital of the US, with likely knock-on effects in other cases (especially Connecticut and other SDNY lawsuits). pic.twitter.com/pLCobVo21S
— Daniel Wallach (@WALLACHLEGAL) July 8, 2026
Challenges Faced by Prediction Markets in Other States
Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets are currently facing many state-level lawsuits and regulatory actions over their event contracts, as well as market manipulation and insider trading concerns.
Recently, Kentucky joined other U.S. states in suing prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket, alleging that they were offering illegal sports betting in the state. Kentucky Attorney General Russell Coleman claimed they are subject to gambling laws rather than financial laws.
Notably, Kalshi may appeal Ripple lawsuit-linked Judge Torres’ ruling to seek an immediate injunction pending that appeal. However, the momentum has clearly shifted against prediction markets, despite the CFTC supporting Kalshi and Polymarket.
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