Bitcoin Price Forecast as Fresh Strikes on Strait of Hormuz Threaten US-Iran Peace Deal

Muthoni Mary
Muthoni Mary

Muthoni Mary

Market Analyst
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.
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Bitcoin Price Prediction Amid Escalating Geopolitical Tensions Between US and Iran
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Highlights

  • Bitcoin price has registered slight gains despite fresh strikes by Iran into the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Iran has threatened to walk away from negotiations for a lasting peace deal if US threats against Iran continue.
  • BTC's funding rate and rising ETF inflows suggest traders are ignoring the geopolitical tensions.

Bitcoin (BTC) price is up by 0.9% today, July 7, to trade at $63,300 at the time of writing. The gains come despite reports that Iran is attacking commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz.

These strikes by Iran have caused the price of crude oil to gain by 0.9% to $69 at press time.

Bitcoin Holds Steady Despite Fresh US-Iran Tensions

A report by Axios notes that the Iranian military fired two missiles at commercial ships on the Strait of Hormuz on July 6.

Iran fired these missiles into the Strait of Hormuz after President Donald Trump said that Iran should agree on a lasting deal for peace, failure to which the US would resume strikes on Tehran.

“We’re either going to make a deal, or we’re ​going to finish the job… And it won’t be tough to finish the job,” Trump said.

Iran’s Foreign Minister has since responded to Trump, saying that negotiations to end the war will not take place if the US continues to threaten Iran.

BTC usually drops when tensions between the US and Iran escalate, but this did not occur this time around, as the price rose by 0.9% to trade at $63,361 at the time of writing.

Bitcoin Price Eyes $67K as Bullish Pressure Strengthens

Bitcoin created a double bottom pattern when it dropped to the support of $58,201 on June 30. BTC price has gained by 8% since testing this support to reach $63,000 on July 7.

If the uptrend that began on June 30 continues, Bitcoin could reach the obstacle at $67,323. Closing above $67,323 for three straight days could cause a 15% gain that will push Bitcoin price to the May 2026 high of $77,400.

The AO bars that are green and positive also support a bullish long-term Bitcoin price forecast, suggesting that the price could reach $77,400.

Bitcoin Price Outlook as Bullish Pattern Emerges
BTC/USDT: 1-day Chart (Source: TradingView)

The CMF reading of 0.10 also suggests that buying pressure is high, and this supports the thesis that BTC price could rise to $67,000.

Bernstein Reiterates $150,000 BTC Price Target as Funding Rate Soars

Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani predicts that the price of Bitcoin could reach $150,000 before the end of 2026 if Congress passes the CLARITY Act because this bill could increase buying pressure around Bitcoin.

The analyst’s forecast of a move to $150 comes after the BlackRock IBIT ETF recorded its first inflow of $209 million since June 16.

These ETF inflows have also coincided with a rise in Bitcoin’s funding rate to 0.01% per Coinglass data, suggesting that more traders are opening long positions.

Bitcoin Price Outlook as Funding Rate Surges
Bitcoin Funding Rate (Source: Coinglass)

The rising demand for long positions on Bitcoin suggests that many traders are expecting the price of Bitcoin to keep rising.

Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author's personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. Why is the price of Bitcoin rising despite US-Iran tensions?

The price of Bitcoin is rising despite US-Iran tensions because of buyers defying the bearish pressure caused by geopolitical tensions.

2. How high could BTC price go?

Bitcoin price could surge to $77,400 if it overcomes the neckline resistance level at $67,000.

3. What is the key support level for Bitcoin price?

The key support level for Bitcoin price is the June 30 low of $58,000.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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Bitcoin

$58,615.0000 -1.19878%

24 Hours volume

$34.11B

Market Cap

$1.18T

Max Supply

21M

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About Author
About Author
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.